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Brindisi vs Turris Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H Franco Fanuzzi, Brindisi
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Carretta M.
37' Event
D'Agostino S.
76' Event
Bangal F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Brindisi and Turris finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Turris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Brindisi
20%
Draws
52%
Turris
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Turris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brindisi come out ahead of Turris on wins alone.
  • Model gives Turris a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Turris have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Brindisi Clean Sheet 19%
Turris Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brindisi Turris
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 10 3
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.52 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Turris
1:2
Apr 27, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Brindisi vs Turris
1:2
Dec 22, 2023 Serie C - Group C
Turris vs Brindisi
3:1
Apr 13, 2014 Serie D - Group H
Turris vs Brindisi
2:0
Dec 1, 2013 Serie D - Group H
Brindisi vs Turris
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brindisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Carretta M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Turris Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Agostino S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bangal F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brindisi 24 / 100
Turris 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brindisi Turris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Turris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brindisi scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Turris has conceded goals in 74% of their last 19 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Brindisi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brindisi VS Turris
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brindisi

(Home)
27 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Brindisi
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2
Turris
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1
Brindisi
12 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 0
Fidelis Andria
06 Sept
Real Forio 2014
4 : 1
Brindisi
Page 1 of 6

Turris

(Away)
27 Sept
Turris
2 : 0
Fidelis Andria
20 Sept
Brindisi
1 : 2
Turris
16 Sept
Turris
0 : 0
Gravina
13 Sept
Palmese 1914
0 : 0
Turris
06 Sept
Turris
4 : 3
Martina Calcio
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 5 5 0 0 10:4 15
2 Bisceglie 5 4 0 1 11:5 12
3 Turris 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
4 Nocerina 5 3 1 1 11:8 10
5 Real Normanna 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
6 Martina Calcio 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
7 Manfredonia 5 2 2 1 9:6 8
8 Gravina 5 2 2 1 8:5 8
9 Real Forio 2014 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
10 Ebolitana 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
11 San Felice Gladiator 5 2 0 3 8:10 6
12 Brindisi 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
13 A.C.D. Nardo 5 1 2 2 3:7 5
14 Melfi 5 1 1 3 2:5 4
15 Palmese 1914 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Francavilla 5 1 0 4 3:6 3
17 Ischia 5 0 1 4 6:11 1
18 Fidelis Andria 5 0 1 4 4:10 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)