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Brinkumer vs Grohn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brinkumer host Grohn in the Oberliga Bremen. Brinkumer go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Brinkumer at 3.1 goals for, 1.84 against; Grohn at 1.34 for, 4.34 against. Past meetings favor Brinkumer slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 14, 2017, ending 1:0. The numbers (2.88 xG vs 1.38) point toward Brinkumer. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Brinkumer
15%
Draws
16%
Grohn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brinkumer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Brinkumer have won more games recently than Grohn.
  • Brinkumer are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Brinkumer Clean Sheet 17%
Grohn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brinkumer Grohn
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 7
Draws 3 2
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 3.1 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.84 4.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2017 Oberliga Bremen
Grohn vs Brinkumer
1:0
Aug 26, 2016 Oberliga Bremen
Brinkumer vs Grohn
6:0
May 22, 2016 Oberliga Bremen
Grohn vs Brinkumer
2:4
Aug 30, 2015 Oberliga Bremen
Brinkumer vs Grohn
1:1
Apr 12, 2015 Oberliga Bremen
Grohn vs Brinkumer
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brinkumer 84 / 100
Grohn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brinkumer Grohn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brinkumer Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brinkumer scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Grohn let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Brinkumer remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brinkumer VS Grohn
3 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brinkumer

(Home)
10 Oct
Brinkumer
4 : 0
Werder Bremen III
27 Sept
ESC Geestemunde
3 : 3
Brinkumer
19 Sept
Brinkumer
2 : 0
Blumenthaler
13 Sept
Vatan Bremen
0 : 2
Brinkumer
05 Sept
Brinkumer
1 : 0
OSC Bremerhaven
Page 1 of 7

Grohn

(Away)
11 Oct
Schwachhausen
3 : 0
Grohn
26 Sept
BTS Neustadt
2 : 1
Grohn
20 Sept
Grohn
2 : 1
Werder Bremen III
13 Sept
ESC Geestemunde
4 : 3
Grohn
06 Sept
Grohn
2 : 5
Blumenthaler
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blumenthaler 9 8 0 1 34:9 24
2 Hemelingen 8 7 1 0 31:3 22
3 Brinkumer 9 7 1 1 28:9 22
4 OSC Bremerhaven 8 6 1 1 33:6 19
5 Aumund-Vegesack 8 4 1 3 22:16 13
6 Vatan Bremen 9 4 1 4 21:19 13
7 ESC Geestemunde 9 3 3 3 25:25 12
8 Union 60 Bremen 9 3 3 3 18:18 12
9 Eiche Horn 8 3 3 2 8:12 12
10 Grohn 8 3 1 4 13:22 10
11 Schwachhausen 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
12 BTS Neustadt 9 3 0 6 15:28 9
13 Leher 9 2 2 5 15:18 8
14 Werder Bremen III 9 1 1 7 12:28 4
15 Woltmershausen 9 1 1 7 11:34 4
16 Oberneuland 9 0 2 7 8:38 2
Promotion - Oberliga Hamburg (Promotion)