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Brisbane City vs Brisbane Roar U23

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Spencer Park
Sun, Jul 5, 2026
VS
05:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brisbane City host Brisbane Roar U23 in the NPL Queensland. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Brisbane Roar U23 have shipped 3.13 goals a game lately, while Brisbane City have conceded 2 and scored 2.25. Past meetings favor Brisbane City slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 2.69 vs 1.69, favoring Brisbane City. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Brisbane City
33%
Draws
27%
Brisbane Roar U23
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Brisbane City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brisbane City come out ahead of Brisbane Roar U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Brisbane City's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • Brisbane City have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Brisbane City Clean Sheet 13%
Brisbane Roar U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane City Brisbane Roar U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 2.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Brisbane City
1:3
Aug 26, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Brisbane Roar U23
2:1
May 18, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Brisbane City
0:1
May 26, 2024 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Brisbane City
2:3
Feb 24, 2024 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Brisbane Roar U23
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane City 39 / 100
Brisbane Roar U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane City Brisbane Roar U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brisbane City's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Brisbane Roar U23 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Brisbane City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brisbane City VS Brisbane Roar U23
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Peninsula16122240:1938
2Queensland Lions15112245:1835
3Moreton City Excelsior16102442:2332
4Eastern Suburbs1691631:2328
5Gold Coast Knights SC1482436:2326
6Brisbane City1674537:3825
7Wynnum Wolves1673628:3324
8Olympic FC1662831:3320
9Rochedale16421025:4014
10Gold Coast Utd15311118:3210
11Magic United TFA FC16311218:4910
12Brisbane Roar U2316301321:419