Sport Picks

Australia

NPL Queensland U23

QLD State Team U17

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Brisbane City U23 play QLD State Team U17 in the NPL Queensland U23. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brisbane City U23 averaged 2 goals scored and 2.76 conceded. QLD State Team U17 averaged 2.19 goals scored and 2.69 conceded. In past meetings, Brisbane City U23 won 1, QLD State Team U17 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Brisbane City U23 and 2.69 for QLD State Team U17. This points to a QLD State Team U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Brisbane City U23

15%

Draws

44%

QLD State Team U17

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: QLD State Team U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Brisbane City U23 picked up more points recently compared to QLD State Team U17.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 2.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 91%

Over 2.5 Goals 77%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%

Brisbane City U23 Clean Sheet 10%

QLD State Team U17 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 82%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Brisbane City U23	QLD State Team U17
Matches Played	17	16
Wins	5	6
Draws	3	1
Losses	9	9
Goals Scored	2	2.19
Goals Conceded	2.76	2.69
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.25	3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 NPL Queensland U23

Brisbane City U23 vs QLD State Team U17

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

Feb 22, 2026 NPL Queensland U23

QLD State Team U17 vs Brisbane City U23

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 0 - 0

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane City U23 39 / 100

QLD State Team U17 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Brisbane City U23 QLD State Team U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: QLD State Team U17 or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.6%

1.41

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brisbane City U23 attacking → ← attacking QLD State Team U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brisbane City U23 scored in 76% of their last 17 games.

QLD State Team U17 let in goals in 88% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Brisbane City U23 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

QLD State Team U17 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 19

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

3.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Queensland Lions U23	17	11	4	2	44:18	37
2	Rochedale U23	17	11	2	4	46:23	35
3	Gold Coast Knights SC U23	16	10	1	5	42:27	31
4	Moreton City Excelsior U23	16	9	2	5	42:23	29
5	Eastern Suburbs U23	17	9	2	6	37:22	29
6	Olympic FC U23	17	7	2	8	30:33	23
7	Gold Coast U23	16	7	2	7	34:39	23
8	Peninsula U23	17	6	2	9	34:42	20
9	QLD State Team U17	16	6	1	9	35:43	19
10	Brisbane City U23	17	5	3	9	34:47	18
11	Wynnum Wolves U23	17	5	2	10	25:41	17
12	Magic United TFA FC U23	17	2	1	14	12:57	7