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Brisbane City vs Wynnum Wolves

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Spencer Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brisbane City play Wynnum Wolves in the NPL Queensland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brisbane City averaged 2.17 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Wynnum Wolves averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, Brisbane City won 1, Wynnum Wolves won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for Brisbane City and 1.81 for Wynnum Wolves. This points to a Brisbane City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Brisbane City
20%
Draws
39%
Wynnum Wolves
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brisbane City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Brisbane City picked up more points recently compared to Wynnum Wolves.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Brisbane City Clean Sheet 11%
Wynnum Wolves Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane City Wynnum Wolves
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.17 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Wynnum Wolves
3:0
Jul 5, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Wynnum Wolves
3:4
Jun 4, 2025 NPL Queensland
Wynnum Wolves vs Brisbane City
0:0
Jul 13, 2024 NPL Queensland
Wynnum Wolves vs Brisbane City
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 NPL Queensland
Brisbane City vs Wynnum Wolves
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brisbane City Compare

Top Goalscorer Calleja L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tipaldo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Wynnum Wolves Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane City 39 / 100
Wynnum Wolves 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane City Wynnum Wolves

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brisbane City or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.4%
1.39
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brisbane City attacking → ← attacking Wynnum Wolves

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brisbane City scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Wynnum Wolves let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Brisbane City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Wynnum Wolves lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 43
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Peninsula16122240:1938
2Queensland Lions15112245:1835
3Moreton City Excelsior16102442:2332
4Eastern Suburbs1691631:2328
5Gold Coast Knights SC1482436:2326
6Brisbane City1674537:3825
7Wynnum Wolves1774629:3425
8Olympic FC1662831:3320
9Rochedale17431026:4115
10Gold Coast Utd15311118:3210
11Magic United TFA FC16311218:4910
12Brisbane Roar U2316301321:419