Sport Picks
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Brisbane City
Australia
NPL Queensland AJ Kelly Park 
AI Match Summary
Brisbane Roar U23 play Brisbane City in the NPL Queensland. Brisbane City are favorites here. Recently, Brisbane Roar U23 averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Brisbane City averaged 2.29 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. In past meetings, Brisbane Roar U23 won 0, Brisbane City won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 5, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Brisbane Roar U23 and 2.38 for Brisbane City. This points to a Brisbane City double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Brisbane Roar U23 picked up more points recently compared to Brisbane City.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 2.38 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brisbane Roar U23 | Brisbane City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 2.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 2.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brisbane Roar U23 Compare
Brisbane City Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brisbane Roar U23 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Brisbane City let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Brisbane Roar U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Brisbane City lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peninsula | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 43:20 | 42 |
| 2 | Queensland Lions | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 48:20 | 38 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 47:28 | 35 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 40:25 | 32 |
| 5 | Eastern Suburbs | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 32:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Brisbane City | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 38:39 | 26 |
| 7 | Wynnum Wolves | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 29:34 | 26 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 31:35 | 20 |
| 9 | Rochedale | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 27:45 | 15 |
| 10 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 26:43 | 13 |
| 11 | Magic United TFA FC | 18 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 24:54 | 13 |
| 12 | Gold Coast Utd | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 19:35 | 10 |