Sport Picks
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Gold Coast Utd
Australia
NPL Queensland AJ Kelly Park 
AI Match Summary
Brisbane Roar U23 play Gold Coast Utd in the NPL Queensland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brisbane Roar U23 averaged 1.31 goals scored and 2 conceded. Gold Coast Utd averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.21 conceded. In past meetings, Brisbane Roar U23 won 4, Gold Coast Utd won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Brisbane Roar U23 and 2.00 for Gold Coast Utd. This points to a Brisbane Roar U23 double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Brisbane Roar U23 picked up more points recently compared to Gold Coast Utd.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 2.00 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brisbane Roar U23 | Gold Coast Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 18 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.13 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brisbane Roar U23 Compare
Gold Coast Utd Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Brisbane Roar U23 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Gold Coast Utd let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Brisbane Roar U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Gold Coast Utd lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peninsula | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 43:20 | 41 |
| 2 | Queensland Lions | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47:18 | 38 |
| 3 | Moreton City Excelsior | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 43:25 | 32 |
| 4 | Gold Coast Knights SC | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 38:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Eastern Suburbs | 17 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 32:26 | 28 |
| 6 | Brisbane City | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 38:39 | 26 |
| 7 | Wynnum Wolves | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29:34 | 25 |
| 8 | Olympic FC | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 31:35 | 20 |
| 9 | Rochedale | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 26:41 | 15 |
| 10 | Magic United TFA FC | 17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 21:50 | 13 |
| 11 | Gold Coast Utd | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 19:35 | 10 |
| 12 | Brisbane Roar U23 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 22:42 | 10 |