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Brisbane Roar U23 vs Queensland Lions

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland AJ Kelly Park
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Hore M.
40' Event
Lauton J.
65' Event
Fiechtner A.

AI Match Summary

Queensland Lions in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Queensland Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Brisbane Roar U23
39%
Draws
30%
Queensland Lions
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Brisbane Roar U23 haven't matched Queensland Lions's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Queensland Lions have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Brisbane Roar U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane Roar U23 Queensland Lions
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.5 3.13
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Queensland Lions
1:3
Jun 8, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Queensland Lions
1:2
Feb 28, 2025 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar U23
3:0
Jun 16, 2024 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs Queensland Lions
0:5
Mar 17, 2024 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Brisbane Roar U23
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brisbane Roar U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lauton J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Queensland Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiechtner A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hore M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane Roar U23 30 / 100
Queensland Lions 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane Roar U23 Queensland Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brisbane Roar U23 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Brisbane Roar U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Queensland Lions let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brisbane Roar U23 VS Queensland Lions
1.5 Goals Scored 3.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Queensland Lions19142350:2044
2Peninsula19134245:2243
3Moreton City Excelsior19113549:3036
4Gold Coast Knights SC18103541:2733
5Brisbane City1986541:4130
6Wynnum Wolves1985631:3529
7Eastern Suburbs1991933:3128
8Olympic FC18621031:3820
9Magic United TFA FC19511328:5516
10Rochedale19431229:4815
11Gold Coast Utd18411322:3613
12Brisbane Roar U2318411326:4313