Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brisbane Roar U23 vs St. George Willawong

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland 2025 AJ Kelly Park
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brisbane Roar U23 play St. George Willawong in the NPL Queensland 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brisbane Roar U23 averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.25 conceded. St. George Willawong averaged 0.75 goals scored and 2.88 conceded. In past meetings, Brisbane Roar U23 won 1, St. George Willawong won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 15, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Brisbane Roar U23 and 1.50 for St. George Willawong. This points to a Brisbane Roar U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Brisbane Roar U23
17%
Draws
13%
St. George Willawong
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Brisbane Roar U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Brisbane Roar U23 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to St. George Willawong.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Brisbane Roar U23.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Queensland 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Brisbane Roar U23 Clean Sheet 16%
St. George Willawong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brisbane Roar U23 St. George Willawong
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 5
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 2.25 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2025 NPL Queensland
Brisbane Roar U23 vs St. George Willawong
0:0
May 4, 2025 NPL Queensland
St. George Willawong vs Brisbane Roar U23
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brisbane Roar U23 66 / 100
St. George Willawong 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brisbane Roar U23 St. George Willawong

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brisbane Roar U23 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

St. George Willawong let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Brisbane Roar U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

St. George Willawong lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brisbane Roar U23 VS St. George Willawong
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Moreton City Excelsior22145348:2347
2Queensland Lions22133648:2942
3Peninsula22116545:2139
4Eastern Suburbs22125551:3638
5Gold Coast Knights SC22114729:2637
6Olympic FC22931029:2630
7Brisbane City22931043:4230
8Wynnum Wolves2276941:4027
9Gold Coast Utd22831125:4527
10Brisbane Roar U2322641229:3522
11St. George Willawong22471127:4819
12Sunshine Coast Wanderers22231720:649