Sport Picks
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory
Australia
A-League 2025/2026 Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane 
Match Events
16'
16'
Long Ch.
Assist: O'Shea J.
19'
19'
Salas Y.
Own Goal
25'
25'
Maieroni N.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this A-League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Perth Glory
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Perth Glory haven't matched Brisbane Roar's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Brisbane Roar Clean Sheet 19%
Perth Glory Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brisbane Roar | Perth Glory |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 A-League
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory
1:1
Jan 16, 2026 A-League
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
1:2
Mar 15, 2025 A-League
Perth Glory vs Brisbane Roar
1:3
Dec 21, 2024 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Perth Glory
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brisbane Roar Compare
Top Goalscorer Long Ch.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Perth Glory Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brisbane Roar 36 / 100
Perth Glory 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brisbane Roar Perth Glory
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Perth Glory Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Perth Glory let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Brisbane Roar scored in 75% of their last 32 games.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Brisbane Roar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Brisbane Roar VS Perth Glory
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Brisbane Roar
(Home) 04 Sept
Olympic FC
3 : 4 Brisbane Roar
29 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 0 Brisbane Roar
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0 Brisbane Roar
09 Aug
Brisbane Roar
2 : 4 Sydney FC
30 Jul
Sydney Olympic
0 : 3 Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 7
09 Aug
Brisbane Roar
2 : 4 Sydney FC
18 Apr
Brisbane Roar
2 : 3 Melbourne City
02 Apr
Brisbane Roar
0 : 0 Sydney FC
21 Mar
Brisbane Roar
1 : 2 Wellington Phoenix
13 Mar
Brisbane Roar
2 : 2 Western Sydney Wanderers
Page 1 of 3
Perth Glory
(Away) 21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1 Perth Glory
25 Apr
Perth Glory
2 : 1 Brisbane Roar
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0 Perth Glory
12 Apr
Perth Glory
3 : 1 Macarthur FC
04 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2 Perth Glory
Page 1 of 6
21 Jul
Queensland Lions
2 : 1 Perth Glory
18 Apr
Sydney FC
0 : 0 Perth Glory
04 Apr
Central Coast
2 : 2 Perth Glory
14 Mar
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 0 Perth Glory
08 Mar
Auckland FC
2 : 2 Perth Glory
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide Utd | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | 21 |
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
