Sport Picks
Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & H2H Stats
Australia
A-League 2025/2026 Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane 
Match Events
6'
6'
Eze I.
15'
15'
Herrington L.
35'
35'
O'Shea J.
AI Match Summary
Wellington Phoenix in this A-League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wellington Phoenix.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wellington Phoenix
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Wellington Phoenix lately — more wins on the board than Brisbane Roar.
- Brisbane Roar are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular A-League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Wellington Phoenix here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Brisbane Roar Clean Sheet 20%
Wellington Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Brisbane Roar | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.65 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix
1:2
Jan 3, 2026 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix
0:3
Oct 26, 2025 A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar
2:1
May 14, 2025 Australia Cup
Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 A-League
Brisbane Roar vs Wellington Phoenix
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Brisbane Roar Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Wellington Phoenix Compare
Top Goalscorer Eze I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nagasawa K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Brisbane Roar 42 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Brisbane Roar Wellington Phoenix
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wellington Phoenix's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Brisbane Roar's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Solid form: Brisbane Roar remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Brisbane Roar VS Wellington Phoenix
2 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Brisbane Roar
(Home) 04 Sept
Olympic FC
3 : 4 Brisbane Roar
29 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 0 Brisbane Roar
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0 Brisbane Roar
09 Aug
Brisbane Roar
2 : 4 Sydney FC
30 Jul
Sydney Olympic
0 : 3 Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 7
09 Aug
Brisbane Roar
2 : 4 Sydney FC
18 Apr
Brisbane Roar
2 : 3 Melbourne City
02 Apr
Brisbane Roar
0 : 0 Sydney FC
21 Mar
Brisbane Roar
1 : 2 Wellington Phoenix
13 Mar
Brisbane Roar
2 : 2 Western Sydney Wanderers
Page 1 of 3
Wellington Phoenix
(Away) 24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
18 Apr
Wellington Phoenix
2 : 1 Western Sydney Wanderers
12 Apr
Melbourne City
2 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
05 Apr
Melbourne Victory
0 : 1 Wellington Phoenix
21 Mar
Brisbane Roar
1 : 2 Wellington Phoenix
Page 1 of 6
24 Apr
Macarthur FC
4 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
12 Apr
Melbourne City
2 : 0 Wellington Phoenix
05 Apr
Melbourne Victory
0 : 1 Wellington Phoenix
21 Mar
Brisbane Roar
1 : 2 Wellington Phoenix
06 Mar
Adelaide Utd
1 : 1 Wellington Phoenix
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide Utd | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | 21 |
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
