Sport Picks

England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026

Bristol City U21

3 - 2

Derby U21

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Skinner L.

Assist: Yeboah E.

34'

Eames O.

Assist: Allen C.

63'

Sheppard R.

Assist: Skinner L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Bristol City U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Bristol City U21

35%

Draws

28%

Derby U21

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bristol City U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence

Derby U21 haven't matched Bristol City U21's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Bristol City U21's way, sitting at 90%.
Bristol City U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Bristol City U21, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 85%

Over 3.5 Goals 69%

Over 4.5 Goals 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%

Bristol City U21 Clean Sheet 15%

Derby U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Bristol City U21	Derby U21
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	8
Draws	7	8
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	1.9	1.7
Goals Conceded	2.03	2.33
Expected Goals (xG)	2.69	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 16, 2025 Premier League Cup

Bristol City U21 vs Derby U21

3:2

Oct 20, 2025 Premier League Cup

Derby U21 vs Bristol City U21

8:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bristol City U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Skinner L.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sheppard R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.07

Avg xA / game 1.34

Derby U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Eames O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Oguntolu J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bristol City U21 84 / 100

Derby U21 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Bristol City U21 Derby U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bristol City U21 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bristol City U21's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Derby U21 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 7.50 goals.

Bristol City U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bristol City U21 VS Derby U21

2.25 Goals Scored 1.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 3.13

100% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 88%

63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bristol City U21

(Home)

15 Sept

Peterborough U21

3 : 3

Bristol City U21

07 Sept

Reading U21

1 : 2

Bristol City U21

01 Sept

Bristol City U21

3 : 1

Sheffield Utd U21

22 Aug

Sheffield Wed U21

1 : 1

Bristol City U21

18 Aug

Bristol City U21

2 : 2

Wigan U21

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Derby U21

(Away)

18 Sept

Burnley U21

4 : 1

Derby U21

11 Sept

Derby U21

1 : 3

Tottenham U21

08 Sept

Gateshead

1 : 3

Derby U21

31 Aug

Derby U21

4 : 4

West Brom U21

24 Aug

Reading U21

1 : 3

Derby U21

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