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Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup Memorial Stadium, Bristol
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Bristol Rovers at 1.54 goals for, 1.58 against; Cambridge Utd at 1.67 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Bristol Rovers have won 3 to Cambridge Utd's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.94, favoring Cambridge Utd. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Bristol Rovers
30%
Draws
58%
Cambridge Utd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cambridge Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cambridge Utd lately — more wins on the board than Bristol Rovers.
  • Cambridge Utd are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Cambridge Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bristol Rovers, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 10%
Cambridge Utd Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bristol Rovers Cambridge Utd
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 11
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.54 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.58 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 League Two
Cambridge Utd vs Bristol Rovers
3:1
Dec 2, 2025 EFL Trophy
Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge Utd
3:2
Aug 23, 2025 League Two
Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge Utd
1:0
Aug 12, 2025 EFL Cup
Bristol Rovers vs Cambridge Utd
0:2
Jan 4, 2025 League One
Cambridge Utd vs Bristol Rovers
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bristol Rovers 22 / 100
Cambridge Utd 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bristol Rovers Cambridge Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cambridge Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bristol Rovers scored in 81% of their last 26 games.

Defensive concern: Cambridge Utd conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Bristol Rovers stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bristol Rovers VS Cambridge Utd
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bristol Rovers

(Home)
31 Oct
Fleetwood Town
3 : 1
Bristol Rovers
24 Oct
Bristol Rovers
0 : 0
Swindon
20 Oct
Bristol Rovers
1 : 2
Salford
17 Oct
Shrewsbury
1 : 0
Bristol Rovers
10 Oct
Bristol Rovers
1 : 3
Barnet
Page 1 of 6

Cambridge Utd

(Away)
03 Nov
Cambridge Utd
6 : 0
Brighton U21
31 Oct
Leyton Orient
3 : 0
Cambridge Utd
27 Oct
Sheffield Wed
1 : 1
Cambridge Utd
24 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 3
Plymouth
20 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 2
Wycombe
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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Doncaster -
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