Sport Picks
Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham
England
League Two 2025/2026 Memorial Stadium, Bristol 
Match Events
2'
2'
Harrison E.
Assist: Sparkes J.
6'
6'
Smallwood R.
32'
32'
Balmer K.
AI Match Summary
Bristol Rovers in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bristol Rovers.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Bristol Rovers have won more games recently than Cheltenham.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bristol Rovers Clean Sheet 13%
Cheltenham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bristol Rovers | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 27 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.78 | 1.56 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 League Two
Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham
4:0
Nov 22, 2025 League Two
Cheltenham vs Bristol Rovers
1:0
Oct 7, 2025 EFL Trophy
Cheltenham vs Bristol Rovers
0:1
Apr 13, 2024 League One
Cheltenham vs Bristol Rovers
1:3
Dec 9, 2023 League One
Bristol Rovers vs Cheltenham
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bristol Rovers Compare
Top Goalscorer Harrison E.
3 Goals Assists Leader Forde S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Cheltenham Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bristol Rovers 35 / 100
Cheltenham 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bristol Rovers Cheltenham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cheltenham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Bristol Rovers scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.
Cheltenham let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Bristol Rovers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bristol Rovers VS Cheltenham
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Bristol Rovers
(Home) 19 Sept
Gillingham
3 : 0 Bristol Rovers
12 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Bristol Rovers
05 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Rotherham
01 Sept
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0 Colchester
29 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 2 Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Rotherham
01 Sept
Bristol Rovers
2 : 0 Colchester
25 Aug
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3 Chelsea U21
22 Aug
Bristol Rovers
5 : 3 Newport
08 Aug
Bristol Rovers
0 : 1 Peterborough
Page 1 of 3
Cheltenham
(Away) 19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Cheltenham
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3 Cheltenham
05 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 2 Grimsby
01 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2 York City
29 Aug
Barnet
2 : 2 Cheltenham
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1 Cheltenham
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3 Cheltenham
29 Aug
Barnet
2 : 2 Cheltenham
22 Aug
Swindon
2 : 1 Cheltenham
18 Jul
Evesham
0 : 3 Cheltenham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
