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British Virgin Islands U20 vs Saint Lucia U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

British Virgin Islands U20 play Saint Lucia U20 in the CONCACAF Championship U20. It looks like a close match. Recently, British Virgin Islands U20 averaged 1.25 goals scored and 3.13 conceded. Saint Lucia U20 averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, British Virgin Islands U20 won 1, Saint Lucia U20 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 3, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for British Virgin Islands U20 and 2.38 for Saint Lucia U20. This points to a British Virgin Islands U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
British Virgin Islands U20
20%
Draws
38%
Saint Lucia U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: British Virgin Islands U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Saint Lucia U20 demonstrates higher offensive output (1.63 avg goals) than British Virgin Islands U20 (1.25 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for British Virgin Islands U20.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in CONCACAF Championship U20 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
British Virgin Islands U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Saint Lucia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric British Virgin Islands U20 Saint Lucia U20
Matches Played 12 12
Wins 5 5
Draws 1 2
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 CONCACAF Championship U20
British Virgin Islands U20 vs Saint Lucia U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

British Virgin Islands U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Quashie J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Saint Lucia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mondesir K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

British Virgin Islands U20 40 / 100
Saint Lucia U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
British Virgin Islands U20 Saint Lucia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

British Virgin Islands U20 scored in 58% of their last 12 games.

Saint Lucia U20 let in goals in 67% of their last 12 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

British Virgin Islands U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Saint Lucia U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

British Virgin Islands U20 VS Saint Lucia U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Salvador U20540116:312
2Suriname U20540116:412
3Belize U20530210:179
4Saint Martin U2051136:104
5French Guiana U2051135:104
6Grenada U2051043:123
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jamaica U20550028:015
2Puerto Rico U20540112:212
3Bonaire U2052126:117
4Turks and Caicos Islands U2052034:146
5Saint Kitts and Nevis U2051135:124
6Cayman Islands U2050053:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Antigua and Barbuda U2044005:012
2Dominican Republic U20430111:19
3British Virgin Islands U2041124:84
4Saint Lucia U2041034:83
5Dominica U2040132:91
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti U20440016:112
2Curacao U20430113:49
3Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U2042029:106
4Guyana U2041037:93
5Anguilla U2040040:210
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Costa Rica U20431021:310
2Bermuda U2042209:58
3Trinidad & Tobago U20421111:67
4Barbados U2040132:111
5Sint Maarten U2040131:191
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canada U20430124:19
2Nicaragua U20430112:59
3Aruba U2042114:27
4Martinique U2041127:144
5United States Virgin Islands U2040044:290