Sport Picks

North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League

British Virgin Islands

1 - 3

Saint Kitts and Nevis

Our Tip

Match Events

25'

Roberts M.

Assist: Lewis M.

37'

Amory G.

Assist: Hanley R.

46'

Javier K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Saint Kitts and Nevis in this CONCACAF Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saint Kitts and Nevis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

British Virgin Islands

Draws

Saint Kitts and Nevis

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: British Virgin Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Saint Kitts and Nevis lately — more wins on the board than British Virgin Islands.
90% — that's where the model lands on British Virgin Islands taking it.
Regular CONCACAF Nations League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Saint Kitts and Nevis here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

British Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 15%

Saint Kitts and Nevis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	British Virgin Islands	Saint Kitts and Nevis
Matches Played	33	31
Wins	6	12
Draws	8	4
Losses	19	15
Goals Scored	1.88	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.38	2.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League

British Virgin Islands vs Saint Kitts and Nevis

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

1:3

Sep 10, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League

Saint Kitts and Nevis vs British Virgin Islands

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 0 - 1

2:0

Sep 24, 2008 Caribbean Cup

Saint Kitts and Nevis vs British Virgin Islands

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 0 - 2

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

British Virgin Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Javier K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Saint Kitts and Nevis Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberts M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Amory G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

British Virgin Islands 84 / 100

Saint Kitts and Nevis 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

British Virgin Islands Saint Kitts and Nevis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

British Virgin Islands found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Saint Kitts and Nevis conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: British Virgin Islands remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

British Virgin Islands VS Saint Kitts and Nevis

1.88 Goals Scored 1.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 2.88

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barbados	4	4	0	0	17:4	12
2	Bahamas	4	1	1	2	10:13	4
3	United States Virgin Islands	4	0	1	3	4:14	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Belize	4	4	0	9:0	12
2	Anguilla	4	1	3	3:4	3
3	Turks and Caicos Islands	4	1	3	2:10	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Saint Kitts and Nevis	4	3	1	0	10:3	10
2	Cayman Islands	4	2	1	1	4:5	7
3	British Virgin Islands	4	0	0	4	1:7	0