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Brito vs Tirsense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Manga F.
90' Event
Manga F.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Brito
20%
Draws
38%
Tirsense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Brito have won more games recently than Tirsense.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Brito Clean Sheet 68%
Tirsense Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brito Tirsense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 4 13
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Brito vs Tirsense
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Brito
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Brito vs Tirsense
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Taça de Portugal
Tirsense vs Brito
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Tirsense vs Brito
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brito Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tirsense Compare

Top Goalscorer Manga F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brito 41 / 100
Tirsense 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brito Tirsense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brito scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Brito remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Tirsense has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brito VS Tirsense
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brito

(Home)
16 Aug
Brito
2 : 3
GD Braganca
18 Apr
Brito
2 : 0
SC Mirandela
12 Apr
CD Ribeira Brava
2 : 3
Brito
04 Apr
Brito
0 : 1
Celoricense
29 Mar
Brito
1 : 0
CD Ribeira Brava
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Tirsense

(Away)
16 Aug
Rebordosa
0 : 1
Tirsense
29 Jul
Tirsense
0 : 1
Varzim
18 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 1
Chaves B
12 Apr
AD Limianos
0 : 0
Tirsense
04 Apr
Tirsense
1 : 0
Desportivo Moncao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GD Braganca 26 14 6 6 41:29 48
2 SC Vianense 26 14 6 6 49:28 48
3 Brito 26 14 4 8 36:24 46
4 Celoricense 26 11 9 6 35:23 42
5 AD Limianos 26 11 8 7 35:32 41
6 Tirsense 26 9 13 4 31:22 40
7 Camacha 26 9 9 8 34:26 36
8 Chaves B 26 9 9 8 40:29 36
9 Machico 26 10 6 10 28:30 36
10 Sao Martinho 26 10 4 12 22:31 34
11 SC Mirandela 26 10 2 14 21:29 32
12 Vilaverdense FC 26 4 9 13 15:31 21
13 CD Ribeira Brava 26 4 8 14 20:46 20
14 Desportivo Moncao 26 4 5 17 26:53 17
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)