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Stadium Background

Brito vs Vitoria Sernache - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal Parque de Jogos do Brito SC, Guimarães
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Taça de Portugal. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Brito at 1.43 goals for, 1.14 against; Vitoria Sernache at 1.03 for, 0.87 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.40 - 1.13) back Vitoria Sernache to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Brito
15%
Draws
51%
Vitoria Sernache
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria Sernache

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Vitoria Sernache have managed 1.03 goals a game lately — Brito are scoring more at 1.43.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Brito Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Sernache Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brito Vitoria Sernache
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 14 14
Draws 3 10
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brito 31 / 100
Vitoria Sernache 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brito Vitoria Sernache

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brito's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vitoria Sernache conceded in 48% of 31 recent games.

Brito went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vitoria Sernache's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brito VS Vitoria Sernache
1.29 Goals Scored 1.13
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.5
71% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brito

(Home)
20 Sept
Vila Pouca
0 : 5
Brito
13 Sept
Tirsense
2 : 0
Brito
06 Sept
Brito
2 : 1
Maria de Fonte
23 Aug
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0
Brito
16 Aug
Brito
2 : 3
GD Braganca
Page 1 of 6

Vitoria Sernache

(Away)
10 Oct
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 0
Louletano
19 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
2 : 1
Varzim
13 Sept
Caldas SC
2 : 0
Vitoria Sernache
06 Sept
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 3
CF Os Belenenses
30 Aug
GD Os Nazarenos
0 : 3
Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
SC Salgueiros 2
Sousense 1
TBD -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
GD Alcochetense 8
Fayal 0
C.F. Benfica 3
Viana Alentejo 0
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Maritimo -
Imortal -
TBD -
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Tondela -
TBD -
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TBD -
Alverca -
Ermesinde 1
Paredes 3
Maria de Fonte 1
Uniao Nogueirense 0
TBD -
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Famalicao -
Beira Mar 4
Uniao Lamas 3
Lusitano GC 1
CF Os Belenenses 2
TBD -
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Arouca -
Fazendense 1
Mocarriense 0
TBD -
Figueirense -
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Estrela da Amadora -
Malveira 2
Mafra 3
TBD -
Tirsense -
TBD -
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Santa Clara -
Santarem -
TBD -
Merelinense 2
Atletico Arcos 0
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Gil Vicente -
Caldas SC 1
Sintrense 3
TBD -
AFS -
TBD -
TBD -
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Moreirense -
ACDR Lamelas -
TBD -
Portalegrense 0
Santo Antonio 3
TBD -
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Vitoria Guimaraes -
Anca -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 3
Pacos de Brandao 0
TBD -
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Nacional -
Rebordosa 2
FC Alpendorada 3
Macao 5
CF Os Gavionenses 0
TBD -
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Casa Pia -
Serpa 2
Grandolense 0
Castrense 0
Louletano 1
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Rio Ave -
Fatima 3
SB Castelo Branco 1
TBD -
Vinhais -
TBD -
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Academico Viseu -
Sacavenense 5
SC Angrense 0
TBD -
SC Farense -
Regua 0
AD Marco 09 1
Maia Lidador 1
Vila Mea 0
1º Dezembro 0
Real SC 1
TBD -
Academica -
CDC Montalegre 0
Ponte da Barca 1
TBD -
Amarante FC -
O Elvas CAD 9
Sao Roque 0
TBD -
Leiria -
Rebordelo 0
GD Braganca 4
Celoricense 1
Pevidem 0
Montijo 0
Atletico CP 4
TBD -
Lagoa -
Bombarralense -
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Vizela -
Ac. Fundao 0
Guarda FC 6
TBD -
Chaves -
UD Ovarense -
TBD -
Fornos de Algodres 0
Os Marialvas 4
Estrela Calheta -
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SC Vianense 8
Minas de Argozelo 0
Cinfaes 1
SC Espinho 0
TBD -
Leixoes -
Oliveirense 4
Penalva do Castelo 0
TBD -
Penafiel -
Covilha 0
Mortagua FC 1
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Leca -
Nogueirense 1
Naval 1893 3
TBD -
FC Felgueiras -
Pacos Ferreira 0
AD Fafe 1
TBD -
Lajense -
Olhanense -
TBD -
Messejanense 0
Portel 8
Oliveira Hospital 1
GD Sourense 0
Uniao Montemor 1
Juv. Evora 4
SC Barreiro 2
FC Madalena 5
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Lusitania FC -
Correlha 1
AD Limianos 4
Ferreiras 0
Aljustrelense 3
Alcains 1
Sertanense 0
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Vitoria Setubal -
Amora -
TBD -
Uniao Da Serra 5
Uniao de Pombal 0
Machico 2
Camacha 3
Florgrade 1
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Castro Daire -
TBD -
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Portimonense -
Vila Pouca -
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Brito -
GD Os Nazarenos 0
Vitoria Sernache 3
Varzim 5
Trofense 1
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1/64-finals
SC Salgueiros 1
Feirense 0
TBD -
Estoril -
GD Alcochetense 2
C.F. Benfica 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
Imortal 1
Tondela 5
TBD -
Alverca -
Paredes 5
Maria de Fonte 1
TBD -
Famalicao -
Beira Mar 0
CF Os Belenenses 2
TBD -
Arouca -
Fazendense 6
Figueirense 1
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Mafra 3
Tirsense 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Santarem 5
Merelinense 0
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Sintrense 0
AFS 2
TBD -
Moreirense -
ACDR Lamelas 4
Santo Antonio 1
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Anca 1
Sanjoanense 4
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Alpendorada 3
Macao 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Serpa 1
Louletano 2
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Fatima 4
Vinhais 1
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Sacavenense 0
SC Farense 1
AD Marco 09 1
Maia Lidador 0
Real SC 1
Academica 4
Ponte da Barca 0
Amarante FC 2
O Elvas CAD 0
Leiria 2
GD Braganca 6
Celoricense 1
Atletico CP 4
Lagoa 1
Bombarralense 0
Vizela 1
Guarda FC 2
Chaves 3
UD Ovarense 0
Os Marialvas 1
Estrela Calheta 1
SC Vianense 3
Cinfaes 0
Leixoes 4
Oliveirense 1
Penafiel 2
Mortagua FC 0
Leca 2
Naval 1893 0
FC Felgueiras 2
AD Fafe 4
Lajense 0
Olhanense 1
Portel 0
Oliveira Hospital 3
Juv. Evora 2
FC Madalena 1
Lusitania FC 3
AD Limianos 3
Aljustrelense 0
Alcains 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
Amora 3
Uniao Da Serra 4
Camacha 0
Florgrade 1
Castro Daire 0
Portimonense 1
Vila Pouca 0
Brito 5
Vitoria Sernache 2
Varzim 1
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1/32-finals
SC Salgueiros -
Estoril -
GD Alcochetense -
Maritimo -
Tondela -
Alverca -
Paredes -
Famalicao -
CF Os Belenenses -
Arouca -
Fazendense -
Estrela da Amadora -
Mafra -
Santa Clara -
Santarem -
Gil Vicente -
AFS -
Moreirense -
ACDR Lamelas -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Sanjoanense -
Nacional -
FC Alpendorada -
Casa Pia -
Louletano -
Rio Ave -
Fatima -
Academico Viseu -
SC Farense -
AD Marco 09 -
Academica -
Amarante FC -
Leiria -
GD Braganca -
Atletico CP -
Vizela -
Chaves -
Os Marialvas -
SC Vianense -
Leixoes -
Penafiel -
Leca -
FC Felgueiras -
AD Fafe -
Olhanense -
Oliveira Hospital -
Lusitania FC -
AD Limianos -
Vitoria Setubal -
Uniao Da Serra -
Florgrade -
Portimonense -
Brito -
Vitoria Sernache -
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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