Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Sub
John D. In: Degelman O.
Out: John D.
44'
44'
Gammond A.
66'
66'
Brock T.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru Premier game between Briton Ferry and Trefelin finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trefelin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Briton Ferry haven't matched Trefelin's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Briton Ferry have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Briton Ferry Clean Sheet 19%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Briton Ferry | Trefelin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Cymru Premier
Briton Ferry vs Trefelin
1:1
Apr 1, 2024 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Briton Ferry
0:3
Aug 8, 2023 Cymru South
Briton Ferry vs Trefelin
5:0
Jan 6, 2023 Cymru South
Briton Ferry vs Trefelin
2:0
Oct 29, 2022 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Briton Ferry
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Briton Ferry Compare
Top Goalscorer Gammond A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Trefelin Compare
Top Goalscorer Brock T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Briton Ferry 32 / 100
Trefelin 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Briton Ferry Trefelin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Briton Ferry's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Trefelin conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Trefelin's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Briton Ferry VS Trefelin
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Briton Ferry
(Home) 18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
15 Sept
Penybont
3 : 2 Briton Ferry
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1 Briton Ferry
04 Sept
Briton Ferry
0 : 2 Airbus UK Broughton FC
31 Aug
Briton Ferry
1 : 4 Barry Town
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
04 Sept
Briton Ferry
0 : 2 Airbus UK Broughton FC
31 Aug
Briton Ferry
1 : 4 Barry Town
31 Jul
Briton Ferry
2 : 1 Ammanford Town
03 Apr
Briton Ferry
3 : 1 Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 2
Trefelin
(Away) 18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4 Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1 Penybont
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Trefelin
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1 Trefelin
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1 Trefelin
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Trefelin
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1 Trefelin
14 Aug
Connahs Q.
6 : 0 Trefelin
31 Jul
Colwyn Bay
2 : 0 Trefelin
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26:4 | 28 |
| 2 | Penybont | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Caernarfon | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 33:11 | 22 |
| 4 | Connahs Q. | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23:7 | 22 |
| 5 | Barry Town | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 25:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Llandudno FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:14 | 16 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:20 | 15 |
| 10 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 14 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | 10 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:19 | 8 |
| 13 | Trefelin | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4:24 | 3 |
| 14 | Ammanford Town | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7:28 | 3 |
| 15 | Flint Town | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8:24 | 2 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11:35 | 1 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
