Sport Picks

Wales

Premier Women

Cardiff City W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Briton Ferry W play Cardiff City W in the Premier Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Briton Ferry W averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Cardiff City W averaged 2.77 goals scored and 1.65 conceded. In past meetings, Briton Ferry W won 1, Cardiff City W won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 15, 2026 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Briton Ferry W and 2.56 for Cardiff City W. This points to a Cardiff City W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Briton Ferry W

15%

Draws

51%

Cardiff City W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cardiff City W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Briton Ferry W picked up more points recently compared to Cardiff City W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 2.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 95%

Over 2.5 Goals 83%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76%

Briton Ferry W Clean Sheet 10%

Cardiff City W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 86%

Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Briton Ferry W	Cardiff City W
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	11	18
Draws	7	4
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	1.9	2.77
Goals Conceded	1.87	1.65
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2026 Premier Women

Briton Ferry W vs Cardiff City W

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 0 - 0

1:4

Sep 14, 2025 Premier Women

Cardiff City W vs Briton Ferry W

Possession: 52% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

5:1

Apr 13, 2025 Premier Women

Cardiff City W vs Briton Ferry W

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

3:2

Mar 2, 2025 Premier Women

Briton Ferry W vs Cardiff City W

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 4 - 0

0:2

Dec 29, 2024 Premier Women

Briton Ferry W vs Cardiff City W

Possession: 47% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Briton Ferry W Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Cardiff City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Olden M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Curnock L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 3.07

Avg xA / game 1.88

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Briton Ferry W 33 / 100

Cardiff City W 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Briton Ferry W Cardiff City W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cardiff City W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +30.9%

3.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.9%

1.30

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Briton Ferry W attacking → ← attacking Cardiff City W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Briton Ferry W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Cardiff City W let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Briton Ferry W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Cardiff City W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 58

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 3.38

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cardiff City W	14	11	2	1	53:13	35
2	Wrexham W	14	11	1	2	50:20	34
3	Swansea W	14	10	0	4	48:20	30
4	TNS W	14	7	2	5	34:22	23
5	Briton Ferry W	14	5	1	8	29:37	16
6	Aberystwyth W	14	4	1	9	17:34	13
7	Barry Town W	14	4	1	9	22:47	13
8	Pontypridd United W	14	0	0	14	11:71	0