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Briton Ferry W vs Pontypridd United W

Wales Wales

Premier Women
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Walkley L.
69' Event
Lister J.
83' Event
Kearle M.

AI Match Summary

Briton Ferry W host Pontypridd United W in the Premier Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Pontypridd United W have shipped 4.25 goals a game lately, while Briton Ferry W have conceded 1.63 and scored 1.88. Head-to-head, Briton Ferry W have won 4 to Pontypridd United W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 1:5. xG projections (3.06 - 1.00) back Briton Ferry W to edge this. Briton Ferry W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Briton Ferry W
6%
Draws
4%
Pontypridd United W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Briton Ferry W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Briton Ferry W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pontypridd United W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Briton Ferry W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Briton Ferry W Clean Sheet 20%
Pontypridd United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Briton Ferry W Pontypridd United W
Matches Played 43 38
Wins 17 7
Draws 9 3
Losses 17 28
Goals Scored 1.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 4.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 4.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Premier Women
Pontypridd United W vs Briton Ferry W
1:5
Mar 8, 2026 Premier Women
Briton Ferry W vs Pontypridd United W
3:0
Nov 2, 2025 Premier Women
Briton Ferry W vs Pontypridd United W
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Premier Women
Pontypridd United W vs Briton Ferry W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Briton Ferry W Compare

Top Goalscorer Walkley L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kearle M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Pontypridd United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lister J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Briton Ferry W 85 / 100
Pontypridd United W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Briton Ferry W Pontypridd United W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Briton Ferry W scored in 86% of their last 43 games.

Pontypridd United W let in goals in 89% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Briton Ferry W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pontypridd United W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Briton Ferry W VS Pontypridd United W
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 4.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff City W14112153:1335
2Wrexham W14111250:2034
3Swansea W14100448:2030
4TNS W1472534:2223
5Briton Ferry W1451829:3716
6Aberystwyth W1441917:3413
7Barry Town W1441922:4713
8Pontypridd United W14001411:710