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Brive vs Montlucon

France France

CFA - Group C 2005/2006
Brive Logo

Brive

1 - 1
FT
Montlucon Logo

Montlucon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group C 2005/2006 game between Brive and Montlucon finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Brive
15%
Draws
57%
Montlucon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montlucon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montlucon come out ahead of Brive on wins alone.
  • Model gives Montlucon a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Montlucon here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Brive Clean Sheet 17%
Montlucon Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brive Montlucon
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.8 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2007 National 1 - Group C
Montlucon vs Brive
1:0
Nov 11, 2006 National 1 - Group C
Brive vs Montlucon
0:2
Apr 22, 2006 National 1 - Group C
Brive vs Montlucon
1:1
Nov 26, 2005 National 1 - Group C
Montlucon vs Brive
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brive 10 / 100
Montlucon 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brive Montlucon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montlucon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Montlucon has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Brive scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Montlucon let in goals in 59% of their last 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brive VS Montlucon
0.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brive

(Home)
13 Nov
Toulouse Metropole
1 : 0
Brive
15 Nov
Brive
0 : 5
Lucon
10 Dec
Brive
0 : 1
Tours
19 Nov
Brive
1 : 0
Luzenac
26 May
Brive
0 : 2
Bayonne
Page 1 of 6

Montlucon

(Away)
13 Nov
Montlucon
0 : 1
Bergerac
17 Nov
Montlucon
0 : 1
Viry-Chatillon
20 Nov
Montlucon
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
29 May
Montlucon
4 : 2
Toulouse Fontaines Club
22 May
PSG II
1 : 6
Montlucon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moulins-Yzeure 34 17 10 7 56:35 95
2 Rodez 34 17 8 9 58:46 93
3 St Etienne II 34 16 9 9 54:36 91
4 Toulouse II 34 15 12 7 48:30 91
5 Le Mans II 34 15 10 9 54:41 89
6 Brive 34 11 14 9 40:30 81
7 Montlucon 34 13 8 13 37:43 81
8 Orleans 34 12 10 12 34:34 80
9 Aurillac 34 12 10 12 37:40 80
10 Albi 34 11 12 11 49:41 79
11 Nantes II 34 12 7 15 46:48 77
12 Luzenac 34 11 10 13 33:42 77
13 Bordeaux II 34 9 13 12 31:40 74
14 Balma 34 11 7 16 34:64 74
15 Genets 34 9 12 13 40:38 73
16 Andrezieux 34 9 12 13 30:35 73
17 Stade Poitevin 34 9 8 17 29:45 69
18 Blois Foot 41 34 6 10 18 38:60 62
Promotion - National 2006/2007 (Main)