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Briviesca vs Leonesa B

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Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Suarez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 game between Briviesca and Leonesa B finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leonesa B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Briviesca
15%
Draws
59%
Leonesa B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leonesa B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Leonesa B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Leonesa B's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Leonesa B have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Briviesca Clean Sheet 20%
Leonesa B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Briviesca Leonesa B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Briviesca vs Leonesa B
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Briviesca
5:1
Mar 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Briviesca vs Leonesa B
1:1
Oct 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Leonesa B vs Briviesca
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Briviesca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Leonesa B Compare

Top Goalscorer Suarez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Briviesca 28 / 100
Leonesa B 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Briviesca Leonesa B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leonesa B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Briviesca's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Leonesa B conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Briviesca went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leonesa B
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Briviesca

(Home)
11 May
Briviesca
2 : 1
Ciudad Rodrigo CF
04 May
Almazan
4 : 0
Briviesca
01 May
Briviesca
0 : 1
Atletico Tordesillas
27 Apr
Bembibre
2 : 1
Briviesca
23 Apr
Villaralbo
0 : 0
Briviesca
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Leonesa B

(Away)
20 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 1
Leonesa B
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1
Leonesa B
06 Sept
Leonesa B
2 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
14 Aug
Gijon B
3 : 0
Leonesa B
12 Aug
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Leonesa B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Astorga 36 22 9 5 65:25 75
2 Atletico Tordesillas 36 20 12 4 52:25 72
3 Burgos CF B 36 15 15 6 45:29 60
4 Arandina 36 15 13 8 49:35 58
5 Mirandes B 36 16 9 11 51:41 57
6 La Virgen 36 15 12 9 44:30 57
7 Leonesa B 36 15 10 11 54:43 55
8 Palencia CA 36 13 15 8 53:44 54
9 Becerril 36 14 9 13 43:50 51
10 Villaralbo 36 12 14 10 37:27 50
11 Santa Marta Tormes 36 11 15 10 48:41 48
12 CD Mojados 36 12 8 16 36:55 44
13 Almazan 36 9 14 13 44:47 41
14 Palencia CF 36 10 10 16 39:40 40
15 Mansilles 36 9 11 16 36:39 38
16 Bembibre 36 9 11 16 31:53 38
17 Briviesca 36 8 8 20 28:56 32
18 Ciudad Rodrigo CF 36 7 10 19 35:55 31
19 CD Laguna (Valladolid) 36 4 7 25 23:78 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2024/2025 (Play Offs)