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Brno vs Ostrava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga ShipEx Aréna, Brno
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brno host Ostrava in the Chance Liga. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Brno have averaged 2.07 scored and 1.14 conceded recently, against Ostrava's 1.53 scored and 1.3 conceded. Past meetings favor Brno slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 6, 2023, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.13, favoring Brno. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Brno
30%
Draws
39%
Ostrava
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ostrava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brno lately — more wins on the board than Ostrava.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Brno Clean Sheet 20%
Ostrava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brno Ostrava
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.07 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2023 Chance Liga
Ostrava vs Brno
4:0
Feb 18, 2023 Chance Liga
Brno vs Ostrava
2:1
Aug 31, 2022 Chance Liga
Ostrava vs Brno
1:2
May 1, 2021 Chance Liga
Ostrava vs Brno
1:1
Dec 23, 2020 Chance Liga
Brno vs Ostrava
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brno 32 / 100
Ostrava 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brno Ostrava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ostrava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brno found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Ostrava's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Brno remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Brno VS Ostrava
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brno

(Home)
31 Oct
Sigma Olomouc
3 : 0
Brno
27 Oct
Slavia Prague
4 : 0
Brno
24 Oct
Brno
2 : 2
Bohemians 1905
18 Oct
Slovacko
1 : 2
Brno
10 Oct
Brno
0 : 1
Jablonec
Page 1 of 6

Ostrava

(Away)
01 Nov
Ostrava
0 : 4
Plzen
28 Oct
Sparta Prague
0 : 2
Ostrava
18 Oct
Ostrava
0 : 0
Sparta Prague
10 Oct
Bohemians 1905
1 : 0
Ostrava
03 Oct
GKS Katowice
1 : 1
Ostrava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 13 9 4 0 32:7 31
2 Mlada Boleslav 13 7 3 3 22:15 24
3 Sigma Olomouc 13 7 3 3 22:15 24
4 Sparta Prague 13 7 2 4 25:13 23
5 Liberec 12 7 2 3 15:8 23
6 Teplice 13 6 3 4 21:18 21
7 Jablonec 13 6 2 5 16:18 20
8 Brno 13 6 2 5 16:19 20
9 Plzen 13 5 4 4 28:21 19
10 Bohemians 1905 12 4 5 3 13:13 17
11 Hradec Kralove 13 4 3 6 12:18 15
12 FK Pardubice 13 4 2 7 15:19 14
13 Ostrava 12 3 2 7 7:22 11
14 Artis Brno 12 2 4 6 13:22 10
15 Slovacko 13 1 4 8 12:26 7
16 Zlin 13 0 3 10 11:26 3
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)