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Brodd vs Varhaug

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Bo N.
22' Event
Aasen V.
69' Event
Auestad R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 game between Brodd and Varhaug finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varhaug.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Brodd
20%
Draws
38%
Varhaug
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brodd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Brodd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Brodd are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Brodd Clean Sheet 10%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brodd Varhaug
Matches Played 29 14
Wins 14 5
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Brodd vs Varhaug
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brodd Compare

Top Goalscorer Aasen V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Varhaug Compare

Top Goalscorer Bo N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Auestad R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brodd 40 / 100
Varhaug 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brodd Varhaug

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brodd's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Varhaug has conceded goals in 86% of their last 14 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Brodd went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brodd VS Varhaug
2 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%