Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brodd vs Varhaug

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Bo N.
22' Event
Aasen V.
69' Event
Auestad R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 game between Brodd and Varhaug finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varhaug.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Brodd
15%
Draws
57%
Varhaug
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Varhaug

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Brodd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Varhaug are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Brodd Clean Sheet 10%
Varhaug Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brodd Varhaug
Matches Played 29 21
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 2.24 1.76
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Varhaug vs Brodd
3:0
Apr 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 4
Brodd vs Varhaug
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brodd Compare

Top Goalscorer Aasen V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Varhaug Compare

Top Goalscorer Bo N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Auestad R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brodd 10 / 100
Varhaug 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brodd Varhaug

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varhaug Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brodd's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Varhaug let in goals in 76% of their last 21 matches.

Brodd went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brodd VS Varhaug
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Brodd

(Home)
05 Sept
Varhaug
3 : 0
Brodd
02 Sept
Brodd
1 : 3
Viking
30 Aug
Brodd
3 : 1
Viking 2
15 Aug
Flekkeroy
0 : 1
Brodd
08 Aug
Mandalskameratene
2 : 1
Brodd
Page 1 of 6

Varhaug

(Away)
05 Sept
Varhaug
3 : 0
Brodd
30 Aug
Mandalskameratene
0 : 2
Varhaug
26 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 3
Sandnes Ulf
17 Aug
Varhaug
2 : 0
Stabaek 2
07 Aug
Akra
1 : 2
Varhaug
Page 1 of 5