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Bromsgrove vs Stortford

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Shaw B.
57' Event
Trickett-Smith D.
58' Event
Barrow L.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central game between Bromsgrove and Stortford finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bromsgrove.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Bromsgrove
15%
Draws
32%
Stortford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bromsgrove

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bromsgrove come out ahead of Stortford on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Bromsgrove taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Bromsgrove Clean Sheet 20%
Stortford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bromsgrove Stortford
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 16 6
Draws 1 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.85 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Bromsgrove vs Stortford
3:0
Dec 20, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stortford vs Bromsgrove
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Bromsgrove vs Stortford
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Bromsgrove vs Stortford
2:3
Jan 14, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Stortford vs Bromsgrove
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bromsgrove Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaw B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trickett-Smith D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Stortford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bromsgrove 85 / 100
Stortford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bromsgrove Stortford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bromsgrove Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bromsgrove scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Bromsgrove has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Stortford's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Bromsgrove VS Stortford
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bromsgrove

(Home)
19 Sept
Bromsgrove
2 : 1
Leek Town
12 Sept
Bromsgrove
1 : 0
Bury Town
05 Sept
Bromsgrove
2 : 0
Nuneaton
31 Aug
Worcester
0 : 1
Bromsgrove
29 Aug
Bromsgrove
3 : 0
Stortford
Page 1 of 6

Stortford

(Away)
19 Sept
Stamford
0 : 3
Stortford
12 Sept
Stortford
3 : 1
Leamington
05 Sept
Stortford
2 : 3
Berkhamsted Town
31 Aug
Stortford
2 : 0
Hitchin
29 Aug
Bromsgrove
3 : 0
Stortford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 7 7 0 0 22:7 21
2 Alvechurch 7 6 0 1 15:2 18
3 Bury Town 7 6 0 1 15:7 18
4 Bromsgrove 7 6 0 1 13:5 18
5 Kettering 7 4 3 0 10:2 15
6 Anstey Nomads 7 4 2 1 13:7 14
7 Rushall 7 4 0 3 13:11 12
8 Leiston 7 3 2 2 15:12 11
9 Needham Market 7 3 1 3 11:11 10
10 Stortford 8 3 1 4 9:11 10
11 Stourbridge 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
12 Peterborough Sports 7 2 3 2 11:11 9
13 Redditch 8 2 3 3 10:11 9
14 Halesowen 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
15 Racing Club Warwick 8 1 3 4 8:12 6
16 Leighton Town 7 1 2 4 10:15 5
17 Worcester 7 1 2 4 5:10 5
18 Leamington 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
19 Banbury 7 1 2 4 7:13 5
20 Hitchin 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
21 Stratford 7 0 3 4 4:13 3
22 Stamford 8 0 0 8 1:21 0
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)