Sport Picks
Bron Radom vs Jagiellonia II Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 
Match Events
25'
25'
Pieczarka E.
66'
66'
Ziarek A.
83'
83'
Ziarek A.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Bron Radom and Jagiellonia II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Jagiellonia II.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bron Radom
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Jagiellonia II carry the better recent record into this one.
- Bron Radom are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Jagiellonia II here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bron Radom Clean Sheet 15%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bron Radom | Jagiellonia II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.85 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Bron Radom vs Jagiellonia II
1:2
Sep 28, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Bron Radom
1:0
Apr 18, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Bron Radom vs Jagiellonia II
2:3
Sep 22, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Bron Radom
1:0
Nov 24, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Bron Radom vs Jagiellonia II
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bron Radom Compare
Top Goalscorer Pieczarka E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93
Jagiellonia II Compare
Top Goalscorer Ziarek A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bron Radom 84 / 100
Jagiellonia II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bron Radom Jagiellonia II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bron Radom Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bron Radom found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Jagiellonia II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Bron Radom went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Bron Radom VS Jagiellonia II
2.2 Goals Scored 2.25
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.5
60% Over 1.5 100%
60% Over 2.5 75%
60% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Bron Radom
(Home) 18 Jul
Bron Radom
5 : 0 Arka Pawlow
15 Jul
Bron Radom
2 : 3 Ceramika Opoczno
11 Jul
Bron Radom
4 : 0 Pilica Bialobrzegi
30 May
Bron Radom
0 : 1 Warta Sieradz
23 May
Wasilkow
1 : 4 Bron Radom
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Bron Radom
5 : 0 Arka Pawlow
15 Jul
Bron Radom
2 : 3 Ceramika Opoczno
11 Jul
Bron Radom
4 : 0 Pilica Bialobrzegi
30 May
Bron Radom
0 : 1 Warta Sieradz
17 May
Bron Radom
1 : 2 Legia II
Page 1 of 3
Jagiellonia II
(Away) 25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1 Jagiellonia II
19 Sept
Jagiellonia II
2 : 3 LKS Lodz II
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4 MKS Mlawa
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2 Jagiellonia II
29 Aug
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Plock II
2 : 1 Jagiellonia II
05 Sept
LKS Lomza
1 : 2 Jagiellonia II
23 Aug
KTS Weszlo
4 : 0 Jagiellonia II
15 Aug
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2 Jagiellonia II
31 Jul
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
2 : 3 Jagiellonia II
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Legia II | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 82:29 | 84 |
| 2 | LKS Lomza | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 77:31 | 71 |
| 3 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 64:34 | 71 |
| 4 | Suwalki | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 64:43 | 65 |
| 5 | Troszyn | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 75:47 | 57 |
| 6 | Plock II | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz II | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 70:64 | 54 |
| 8 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 46:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 64:55 | 47 |
| 10 | Zabkovia Zabki | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 72:64 | 44 |
| 11 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 51:66 | 41 |
| 12 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 55:59 | 40 |
| 13 | Olimpia Elblag | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 45:61 | 38 |
| 14 | GKS Wikielec | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 40:54 | 37 |
| 15 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:57 | 36 |
| 16 | GKS Belchatow | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 50:76 | 34 |
| 17 | Wasilkow | 34 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 40:79 | 25 |
| 18 | Znicz Biala Piska | 34 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 27:103 | 15 |
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
