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Brothers U. vs Fakirerpool YMC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bangladesh Bangladesh

Federation Cup Muktijuddho Sriti Stadium, Rajshahi
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
08:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Brothers U. at 0.97 goals for, 1.55 against; Fakirerpool YMC at 0.82 for, 2.43 against. Head-to-head, Brothers U. have won 5 to Fakirerpool YMC's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 14, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.44 - 1.50) back Brothers U. to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Brothers U.
30%
Draws
47%
Fakirerpool YMC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fakirerpool YMC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brothers U. come out ahead of Fakirerpool YMC on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Fakirerpool YMC taking it.
  • Brothers U. have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Brothers U., who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Brothers U. here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Brothers U. Clean Sheet 16%
Fakirerpool YMC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brothers U. Fakirerpool YMC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 4
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 0.97 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Federation Cup
Fakirerpool YMC vs Brothers U.
0:1
Apr 10, 2026 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Brothers U.
0:2
Nov 24, 2025 BFL
Brothers U. vs Fakirerpool YMC
2:0
May 16, 2025 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Brothers U.
1:4
Jan 3, 2025 BFL
Brothers U. vs Fakirerpool YMC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brothers U. 28 / 100
Fakirerpool YMC 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brothers U. Fakirerpool YMC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fakirerpool YMC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Fakirerpool YMC conceded in 93% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Fakirerpool YMC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Brothers U. found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Brothers U. VS Fakirerpool YMC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brothers U.

(Home)
02 Oct
PWD Sports Club
1 : 1
Brothers U.
23 Sept
Brothers U.
0 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
18 Sept
Brothers U.
0 : 3
City Club
23 May
Mohammedan
5 : 0
Brothers U.
15 May
Fortis
2 : 0
Brothers U.
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Fakirerpool YMC

(Away)
02 Oct
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
Mohammedan
22 Sept
Fortis
1 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
18 Sept
Fakirerpool YMC
2 : 1
Dhaka Wanderers
23 May
Bashundara Kings
4 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
15 May
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
PWD Sports Club
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abahani Limited Dhaka 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
2 Fakirerpool YMC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Fortis 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Chattogram 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Brothers U. 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Rahmatgonj MFS 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
Promotion - Federation Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bashundara Kings 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Mohammedan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Bangladesh Police 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 City Club 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 PWD Sports Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Arambagh 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Dhaka Wanderers 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Federation Cup (Play Offs)