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Brown Adrogue vs Dock Sud Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla, Adrogue
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brown Adrogue host Dock Sud in the Primera B. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Brown Adrogue have averaged 0.68 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against Dock Sud's 1.18 scored and 1.04 conceded. Past meetings favor Brown Adrogue slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.06, favoring Dock Sud. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Brown Adrogue
35%
Draws
35%
Dock Sud
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Dock Sud have won more games recently than Brown Adrogue.
  • Model gives Brown Adrogue a 30% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Brown Adrogue have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Brown Adrogue Clean Sheet 20%
Dock Sud Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brown Adrogue Dock Sud
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 10
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.68 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Primera B
Dock Sud vs Brown Adrogue
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 Primera B
Dock Sud vs Brown Adrogue
1:3
Mar 30, 2025 Primera B
Brown Adrogue vs Dock Sud
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brown Adrogue 58 / 100
Dock Sud 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brown Adrogue Dock Sud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brown Adrogue Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dock Sud's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Solid form: Brown Adrogue remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Brown Adrogue scored in 50% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Brown Adrogue VS Dock Sud
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brown Adrogue

(Home)
26 Sept
Brown Adrogue
3 : 0
Deportivo Camioneros
19 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
12 Sept
Brown Adrogue
0 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
06 Sept
Villa San Carlos
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
29 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 1
CSD Liniers
Page 1 of 6

Dock Sud

(Away)
28 Sept
Flandria
1 : 2
Dock Sud
20 Sept
Dock Sud
0 : 0
Argentino de Quilmes
12 Sept
Defensores Unidos
3 : 0
Dock Sud
06 Sept
Dock Sud
0 : 1
Comunicaciones
29 Aug
Ituzaingo
0 : 2
Dock Sud
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 37 22 8 7 59:29 74
2 Arsenal Sarandi 37 19 12 6 50:24 69
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 37 19 10 8 40:21 67
4 Villa Dalmine 37 17 13 7 38:21 64
5 Deportivo Camioneros 37 17 12 8 42:27 63
6 Sportivo Italiano 37 17 11 9 43:28 62
7 Real Pilar 37 16 10 11 40:38 58
8 Deportivo Armenio 37 16 9 12 39:38 57
9 Comunicaciones 37 14 12 11 38:33 54
10 Laferrere 37 12 12 13 44:49 48
11 Dock Sud 37 11 14 12 40:39 47
12 San Martin Burzaco 37 11 14 12 37:40 47
13 Villa San Carlos 37 10 14 13 36:39 44
14 Argentino de Merlo 37 11 11 15 32:37 44
15 Dep. Merlo 37 10 13 14 36:51 43
16 Argentino de Quilmes 37 9 15 13 29:36 42
17 Defensores Unidos 37 9 13 15 32:38 40
18 CSD Liniers 37 9 13 15 30:39 40
19 Brown Adrogue 37 8 14 15 24:37 38
20 Flandria 37 10 8 19 33:47 38
21 UAI Urquiza 37 4 20 13 18:33 32
22 Ituzaingo 37 1 12 24 23:59 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)