Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brown Adrogue vs San Martin Burzaco

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Estadio Lorenzo Arandilla, Adrogue
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Modon S.
18' Event
Baez B.
Penalty Missed
30'
Silva J.

AI Match Summary

San Martin Burzaco in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Martin Burzaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Brown Adrogue
35%
Draws
50%
San Martin Burzaco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Martin Burzaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • San Martin Burzaco have won more games recently than Brown Adrogue.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Brown Adrogue Clean Sheet 25%
San Martin Burzaco Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brown Adrogue San Martin Burzaco
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.61 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Primera B
Brown Adrogue vs San Martin Burzaco
0:2
May 2, 2026 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Brown Adrogue
0:0
Sep 8, 2025 Primera B
Brown Adrogue vs San Martin Burzaco
0:0
Apr 19, 2025 Primera B
San Martin Burzaco vs Brown Adrogue
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brown Adrogue Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

San Martin Burzaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Modon S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zagert E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brown Adrogue 37 / 100
San Martin Burzaco 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brown Adrogue San Martin Burzaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Martin Burzaco Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Martin Burzaco has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Brown Adrogue has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Brown Adrogue found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (28 games).

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Brown Adrogue VS San Martin Burzaco
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brown Adrogue

(Home)
19 Sept
Sportivo Italiano
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
12 Sept
Brown Adrogue
0 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
06 Sept
Villa San Carlos
0 : 0
Brown Adrogue
29 Aug
Brown Adrogue
1 : 1
CSD Liniers
25 Aug
Real Pilar
2 : 0
Brown Adrogue
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San Martin Burzaco

(Away)
19 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
2 : 1
Laferrere
12 Sept
Brown Adrogue
0 : 2
San Martin Burzaco
05 Sept
San Martin Burzaco
0 : 0
Deportivo Armenio
30 Aug
Flandria
2 : 0
San Martin Burzaco
25 Aug
San Martin Burzaco
3 : 2
Argentino de Quilmes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 37 22 8 7 59:29 74
2 Arsenal Sarandi 36 18 12 6 48:24 66
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 36 18 10 8 37:19 64
4 Deportivo Camioneros 36 17 12 7 42:24 63
5 Villa Dalmine 36 17 12 7 38:21 63
6 Sportivo Italiano 36 16 11 9 41:27 59
7 Real Pilar 37 16 10 11 40:38 58
8 Deportivo Armenio 36 15 9 12 38:38 54
9 Comunicaciones 36 14 11 11 38:33 53
10 Laferrere 36 12 12 12 43:47 48
11 San Martin Burzaco 36 11 14 11 35:37 47
12 Dock Sud 36 10 14 12 38:38 44
13 Argentino de Merlo 36 11 11 14 32:36 44
14 Dep. Merlo 36 10 13 13 36:50 43
15 Villa San Carlos 36 9 14 13 35:39 41
16 Argentino de Quilmes 36 9 14 13 29:36 41
17 Defensores Unidos 37 9 13 15 32:38 40
18 CSD Liniers 36 9 13 14 30:37 40
19 Flandria 36 10 8 18 32:45 38
20 Brown Adrogue 36 7 14 15 21:37 35
21 UAI Urquiza 36 4 19 13 18:33 31
22 Ituzaingo 37 1 12 24 23:59 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)