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Brunei U23 vs Thailand U23

Asia Asia

AFF Championship U23 2023
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Match Events

15' Event
Watcharapringam V.
21' Event
Soimalai P.
45'
Kaewcharoen N.

AI Match Summary

The AFF Championship U23 2023 game between Brunei U23 and Thailand U23 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thailand U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Brunei U23
15%
Draws
85%
Thailand U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thailand U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Thailand U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Thailand U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFF Championship U23 2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Thailand U23 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Brunei U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Thailand U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brunei U23 Thailand U23
Matches Played 26 38
Wins 0 16
Draws 0 8
Losses 26 14
Goals Scored 0.19 1.97
Goals Conceded 5.73 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2023 ASEAN Championship U23
Brunei U23 vs Thailand U23
0:3
Nov 28, 2019 Southeast Asian Games
Brunei U23 vs Thailand U23
0:7
Mar 24, 2019 AFC Asian Cup U23
Brunei U23 vs Thailand U23
0:8
Jun 6, 2015 Southeast Asian Games
Thailand U23 vs Brunei U23
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brunei U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Thailand U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Watcharapringam V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soimalai P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brunei U23 10 / 100
Thailand U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brunei U23 Thailand U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thailand U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.75 goals as a typical output.

Thailand U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Brunei U23 scored in 19% of their last 26 games.

Thailand U23 has conceded goals in 58% of their last 38 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brunei U23 VS Thailand U23
0 Goals Scored 1.38
9.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Brunei U23

(Home)
09 Sept
India U23
6 : 0
Brunei U23
06 Sept
Brunei U23
0 : 10
Bahrain U23
03 Sept
Qatar U23
13 : 0
Brunei U23
21 Jul
Philippines U23
2 : 0
Brunei U23
18 Jul
Brunei U23
1 : 7
Malaysia U23
Page 1 of 6

Thailand U23

(Away)
16 Sept
Thailand U23
3 : 2
Kyrgyzstan U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5
United Arab Emirates U23
06 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 3
South Korea U23
03 Jun
Thailand U23
1 : 1
Kyrgyzstan U23
31 Mar
North Korea U23
3 : 1
Thailand U23
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Cambodia U23 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
3 Myanmar U23 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - AFF Championship U23 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U23 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Indonesia U23 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Timor-Leste U23 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - AFF Championship U23 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Philippines U23 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
3 Laos U23 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
Promotion - AFF Championship U23 2023 (Play Offs)