Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brunninghausen vs TUS Ennepetal

Germany Germany

Oberliga Westfalen 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brunninghausen play TUS Ennepetal in the Oberliga Westfalen 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Brunninghausen averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. TUS Ennepetal averaged 1.41 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Brunninghausen won 1, TUS Ennepetal won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 14, 2024 ended 3:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Brunninghausen and 1.11 for TUS Ennepetal. This points to a TUS Ennepetal double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Brunninghausen
22%
Draws
53%
TUS Ennepetal
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: TUS Ennepetal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Brunninghausen picked up more points recently compared to TUS Ennepetal.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Brunninghausen Clean Sheet 21%
TUS Ennepetal Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brunninghausen TUS Ennepetal
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.2 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Oberliga Westfalen
Brunninghausen vs TUS Ennepetal
3:3
Oct 22, 2023 Oberliga Westfalen
TUS Ennepetal vs Brunninghausen
1:0
Apr 14, 2019 Oberliga Westfalen
TUS Ennepetal vs Brunninghausen
3:2
Oct 14, 2018 Oberliga Westfalen
Brunninghausen vs TUS Ennepetal
0:1
May 24, 2018 Oberliga Westfalen
TUS Ennepetal vs Brunninghausen
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brunninghausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Karyagdi K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gondrum F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

TUS Ennepetal Compare

Top Goalscorer Nettersheim N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Frolich L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brunninghausen 27 / 100
TUS Ennepetal 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brunninghausen TUS Ennepetal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUS Ennepetal Win (2)
Secondary Pick TUS Ennepetal & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brunninghausen attacking → ← attacking TUS Ennepetal

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brunninghausen scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

TUS Ennepetal let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Brunninghausen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

TUS Ennepetal lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 42
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lotte34244693:3276
2Turkspor Dortmund34235682:4174
3ASC 09 Dortmund34224861:3570
4Erkenschwick34197877:5164
5Gievenbeck34187962:3461
6Preussen Munster 2341512764:3957
7Siegen341411965:4653
8Schermbeck 2020341631563:6751
9Vreden341551454:4850
10Westfalia Rhynern341281449:5644
11Finnentrop/Bamenohl341281471:8344
12TUS Ennepetal341071747:7037
13SG Wattenscheid341042046:6934
14TUS Bovinghausen341022241:9132
15Clarholz34871941:6631
16Eintracht Rheine34781944:7729
17Brunninghausen345111840:7026
18Sprockhovel34672148:7325