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Brunswick City vs Port Melbourne Sharks

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brunswick City play Port Melbourne Sharks in the Victoria Premier League. Brunswick City are favorites here. Recently, Brunswick City averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Port Melbourne Sharks averaged 0.62 goals scored and 2.45 conceded. In past meetings, Brunswick City won 2, Port Melbourne Sharks won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 6, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Brunswick City and 0.94 for Port Melbourne Sharks. This points to a Brunswick City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

66%
Brunswick City
17%
Draws
17%
Port Melbourne Sharks
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Brunswick City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Brunswick City picked up more points recently compared to Port Melbourne Sharks.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Brunswick City Clean Sheet 24%
Port Melbourne Sharks Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brunswick City Port Melbourne Sharks
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 3
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.9 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Port Melbourne Sharks vs Brunswick City
1:3
Feb 27, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Brunswick City vs Port Melbourne Sharks
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brunswick City Compare

Top Goalscorer Paz L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allshorn D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Port Melbourne Sharks Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brunswick City 64 / 100
Port Melbourne Sharks 17 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brunswick City Port Melbourne Sharks

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brunswick City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Brunswick City & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.5%
1.72
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brunswick City attacking → ← attacking Port Melbourne Sharks

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brunswick City scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Port Melbourne Sharks let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Brunswick City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Port Melbourne Sharks lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 16
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Melbourne Knights20132535:1641
2Northcote City20123534:2039
3Brunswick Juventus20130740:3039
4Melbourne Victory U212094748:3531
5Eltham Redbacks2094748:3531
6Bulleen1985632:2629
7Melbourne Srbija1992824:2229
8Manningham United Blues2092934:3829
9North Geelong Warriors1991933:3728
10Western United U2120811142:5025
11Brunswick City19721035:4123
12Langwarrin2065936:4523
13North Sunshine Eagles20531228:3618
14Port Melbourne Sharks20241410:4810