Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brusaporto vs Franciacorta

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Brusaporto Logo

Brusaporto

1 - 0
FT
Franciacorta Logo

Franciacorta

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Consonni A.
90'
Ghislandi A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 game between Brusaporto and Franciacorta finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brusaporto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Brusaporto
15%
Draws
37%
Franciacorta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brusaporto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brusaporto come out ahead of Franciacorta on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 68%
Franciacorta Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusaporto Franciacorta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Franciacorta
1:0
Dec 21, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Brusaporto
1:1
Feb 12, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Brusaporto
1:3
Oct 6, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Franciacorta
1:1
Feb 20, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Franciacorta vs Brusaporto
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusaporto Compare

Top Goalscorer Consonni A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Franciacorta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusaporto 41 / 100
Franciacorta 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusaporto Franciacorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brusaporto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brusaporto scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Franciacorta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Brusaporto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brusaporto VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusaporto

(Home)
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1
Brusaporto
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Tritium
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0
Brusaporto
08 Aug
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
Page 1 of 6

Franciacorta

(Away)
07 May
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Franciacorta
30 Apr
Franciacorta
0 : 0
Varese FC
23 Apr
Arconatese
2 : 1
Franciacorta
16 Apr
Franciacorta
2 : 0
Breno
06 Apr
Villa Valle
0 : 1
Franciacorta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)