Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brusaporto vs Sondrio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Personeni M.
83' Event
Austoni F.
90' Event
Moraschi L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between Brusaporto and Sondrio finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brusaporto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Brusaporto
15%
Draws
37%
Sondrio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brusaporto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brusaporto come out ahead of Sondrio on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Brusaporto have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 13%
Sondrio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusaporto Sondrio
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.03 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Sondrio
3:0
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs Brusaporto
1:2
Feb 2, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs Brusaporto
2:1
Sep 29, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Sondrio
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusaporto Compare

Top Goalscorer Personeni M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Austoni F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Sondrio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusaporto 31 / 100
Sondrio 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusaporto Sondrio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sondrio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Brusaporto scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Brusaporto has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brusaporto VS Sondrio
1.13 Goals Scored 1.83
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusaporto

(Home)
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1
Brusaporto
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Tritium
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0
Brusaporto
08 Aug
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
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Sondrio

(Away)
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1
Sondrio
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1
Real Calepina
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Sondrio
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
02 Apr
Breno
2 : 1
Sondrio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)