Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brusaporto vs Sondrio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Personeni M.
83' Event
Austoni F.
90' Event
Moraschi L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B game between Brusaporto and Sondrio finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brusaporto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Brusaporto
44%
Draws
20%
Sondrio
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brusaporto come out ahead of Sondrio on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Brusaporto have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 19%
Sondrio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusaporto Sondrio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Sondrio
3:0
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs Brusaporto
1:2
Feb 2, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Sondrio vs Brusaporto
2:1
Sep 29, 2019 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Sondrio
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusaporto Compare

Top Goalscorer Personeni M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Austoni F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sondrio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusaporto 36 / 100
Sondrio 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusaporto Sondrio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sondrio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Brusaporto scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Brusaporto has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brusaporto VS Sondrio
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusaporto

(Home)
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1
Brusaporto
26 Apr
Brusaporto
3 : 1
Folgore Caratese
19 Apr
Breno
0 : 2
Brusaporto
12 Apr
Brusaporto
0 : 4
AC Milan U23
02 Apr
Caldiero Terme
1 : 2
Brusaporto
Page 1 of 6

Sondrio

(Away)
02 May
Folgore Caratese
5 : 1
Sondrio
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1
Real Calepina
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Sondrio
12 Apr
Sondrio
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
02 Apr
Breno
2 : 1
Sondrio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Folgore Caratese341911458:2768
2USD Casatese341613549:2861
3Chievo341861052:4360
4AC Milan U23341681062:3756
5AC Leon341411944:3453
6Brusaporto341561341:3851
7Oltrepo341581138:3650
8Scanzorosciate341114941:3347
9Villa Valle341381343:4647
10Ciserano-Bergamo3411131033:3146
11Caldiero Terme341015950:4045
12Real Calepina341191442:4742
13Castellanzese3410111341:3941
14Breno349111439:5138
15Pavia349101536:4737
16Varesina347151238:4436
17Sondrio34871937:6431
18Vogherese34282421:80-17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)