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Brusque U20 vs Nacao U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brusque U20 play Nacao U20 in the Catarinense U20. Nacao U20 are favorites here. Recently, Brusque U20 averaged 0.73 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. Nacao U20 averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, Brusque U20 won 1, Nacao U20 won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 24, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Brusque U20 and 2.06 for Nacao U20. This points to a Nacao U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Brusque U20
18%
Draws
61%
Nacao U20
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Nacao U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Brusque U20 picked up more points recently compared to Nacao U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Brusque U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Nacao U20 Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusque U20 Nacao U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 24 16
Goals Scored 0.73 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Catarinense U20
Brusque U20 vs Nacao U20
2:4
Apr 11, 2026 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Brusque U20
6:0
Jul 16, 2025 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Brusque U20
0:0
May 9, 2025 Catarinense U20
Brusque U20 vs Nacao U20
1:0
Jun 18, 2024 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Brusque U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusque U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Souza G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caue
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Nacao U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cadu
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bicca M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusque U20 21 / 100
Nacao U20 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusque U20 Nacao U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nacao U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Nacao U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brusque U20 attacking → ← attacking Nacao U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusque U20 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Nacao U20 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Brusque U20 went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Nacao U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 27
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
3.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barra FC U201383231:1627
2Avai U201275029:926
3Criciuma U201274121:725
4Chapecoense-SC U201272324:1823
5Concordia U201353513:1918
6Figueirense U201345419:1517
7Nacao U201343626:2215
8Carlos Renaux U201343613:2415
9Joinville U201313910:276
10Brusque U2014111214:434