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Brusque vs Concordia

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Estádio Augusto Bauer, Brusque
Sat, Feb 7, 2026
2 - 1
10:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Rafael Milhorim
28'
Anthonio Sergio
37'
Luizao

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Brusque
35%
Draws
12%
Concordia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Brusque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brusque come out ahead of Concordia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Brusque's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Brusque have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Brusque, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Brusque Clean Sheet 20%
Concordia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusque Concordia
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.45 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Catarinense
Brusque vs Concordia
2:1
Feb 1, 2026 Catarinense
Concordia vs Brusque
0:0
Sep 29, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Brusque vs Concordia
2:0
Sep 24, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Concordia vs Brusque
2:1
Feb 16, 2025 Catarinense
Concordia vs Brusque
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusque Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvaro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Concordia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Barboza
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusque 85 / 100
Concordia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusque Concordia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brusque Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Brusque stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Brusque found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Concordia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Brusque VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusque

(Home)
13 Sept
Brusque
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Brusque
23 Aug
Brusque
1 : 1
Amazonas
15 Aug
Brusque
3 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
Page 1 of 7

Concordia

(Away)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Concordia 1
Brusque 2
Criciuma 1
Chapecoense-SC 2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 2
Santa Catarina 1
Camboriu 3
Avai 2
Semi-finals
Brusque 1
Chapecoense-SC 3
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 4
Camboriu 1
Final
Chapecoense-SC 2
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 3