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Brusque vs Ferroviaria

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Augusto Bauer, Brusque
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brusque host Ferroviaria in the Serie C. This one's hard to separate. Brusque have averaged 1.41 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against Ferroviaria's 1.31 scored and 0.83 conceded. Head-to-head, Brusque have won 0 to Ferroviaria's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 20, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.44, favoring Ferroviaria. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Brusque
35%
Draws
41%
Ferroviaria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ferroviaria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ferroviaria have won more games recently than Brusque.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Brusque Clean Sheet 16%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusque Ferroviaria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.41 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Brusque
3:2
May 17, 2026 Serie C
Ferroviaria vs Brusque
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusque 31 / 100
Ferroviaria 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusque Ferroviaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusque scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Brusque stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Ferroviaria let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brusque VS Ferroviaria
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusque

(Home)
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2
Brusque
13 Sept
Brusque
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Brusque
23 Aug
Brusque
1 : 1
Amazonas
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Ferroviaria

(Away)
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2
Brusque
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
05 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
3 : 3
Ferroviaria
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Confianca
23 Aug
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
2 Brusque 3 1 1 1 6:6 4
3 Internacional de Limeira 3 0 3 0 7:7 3
4 Paysandu PA 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz 3 3 0 0 3:0 9
2 Maringa FC 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 Floresta EC 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Botafogo PB 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)