Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brusque vs Santa Cruz Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Augusto Bauer, Brusque
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Bernardo
46'
Sub
Fabinho In: Andrey
Out: Fabinho
46'
Sub
Ronald In: Marquinhos
Out: Ronald

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Brusque and Santa Cruz finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Cruz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Brusque
35%
Draws
42%
Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Cruz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Santa Cruz here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Brusque Clean Sheet 18%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusque Santa Cruz
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.41 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Serie C
Brusque vs Santa Cruz
0:1
Jan 17, 2021 Serie C
Santa Cruz vs Brusque
3:1
Dec 13, 2020 Serie C
Brusque vs Santa Cruz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusque Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Edson Miranda
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusque 36 / 100
Santa Cruz 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusque Santa Cruz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusque found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Santa Cruz has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Brusque has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Brusque VS Santa Cruz
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusque

(Home)
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1
Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2
Brusque
13 Sept
Brusque
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Brusque
Page 1 of 6

Santa Cruz

(Away)
26 Sept
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Floresta EC
12 Sept
Maringa FC
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Anapolis
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)