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Stadium Background

Brusque vs Ypiranga FC

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Augusto Bauer, Brusque
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Joao Pedro
46'
Sub
Leo Rafael In: Bryam
Out: Leo Rafael
46'
Sub
Rian In: Dudu
Out: Rian

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Brusque and Ypiranga FC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brusque.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Brusque
35%
Draws
42%
Ypiranga FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ypiranga FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ypiranga FC have managed 1.3 goals a game lately — Brusque are scoring more at 1.43.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Brusque Clean Sheet 15%
Ypiranga FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brusque Ypiranga FC
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie C
Brusque vs Ypiranga FC
3:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie C
Brusque vs Ypiranga FC
1:0
Aug 5, 2023 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Brusque
2:0
Oct 11, 2020 Serie C
Ypiranga FC vs Brusque
1:1
Aug 8, 2020 Serie C
Brusque vs Ypiranga FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brusque Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Pedro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adrianinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Ypiranga FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.4
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brusque 31 / 100
Ypiranga FC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brusque Ypiranga FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ypiranga FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brusque's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ypiranga FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Brusque went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brusque VS Ypiranga FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.71
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Brusque

(Home)
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2
Brusque
13 Sept
Brusque
2 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
07 Sept
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Brusque
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Brusque
23 Aug
Brusque
1 : 1
Amazonas
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Ypiranga FC

(Away)
29 Aug
Amazonas
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
23 Aug
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
17 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
09 Aug
Ypiranga FC
4 : 1
Floresta EC
26 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)