Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Brymbo vs Cefn Druids

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cefn Druids in this FA Cup 2012/2013 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Brymbo
20%
Draws
32%
Cefn Druids
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brymbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cefn Druids lately — more wins on the board than Brymbo.
  • Cefn Druids are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Cefn Druids arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cefn Druids, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Brymbo Clean Sheet 10%
Cefn Druids Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brymbo Cefn Druids
Matches Played 11 31
Wins 2 14
Draws 0 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.09 1.81
Goals Conceded 4.55 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2012 FAW Welsh Cup
Brymbo vs Cefn Druids
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brymbo 14 / 100
Cefn Druids 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brymbo Cefn Druids

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cefn Druids Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cefn Druids's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Brymbo found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (11 games).

Cefn Druids's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cefn Druids
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Brymbo

(Home)
04 Sept
Bala
17 : 1
Brymbo
14 Aug
Brymbo
3 : 1
Llansantffraid Village
19 Oct
Guilsfield
2 : 1
Brymbo
20 Oct
Buckley
3 : 1
Brymbo
01 Oct
Llangefni
4 : 0
Brymbo
Page 1 of 3

Cefn Druids

(Away)
15 Apr
Prestatyn
8 : 0
Cefn Druids
07 Apr
Cefn Druids
1 : 2
Ruthin Town
31 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 1
Llandudno FC
25 Mar
Holyhead
1 : 1
Cefn Druids
03 Mar
Cefn Druids
1 : 3
Porthmadog
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tata Steel 7
Bridgend Street 4
Pontypridd United 0
Aberdare Town 1
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brymbo 2
Penycae FC 1
Llanberis FC 1
Cefn Druids 7
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest 5
Brecon Corinthians 2
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Cambrian United 1
Montgomery 5
Venture Community 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Llandudno Junction 4
Gwalchmai 4
Carno FC 1
Ruthin Town 1
Corwen 2
Grange Harlequins 4
Llanwern FC 3
Ammanford Town 1
Chepstow Town 2
Rhyl 7
Bodedern 0
Rhydymwyn 1
Waterloo Rovers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Conwy Borough 1
Caernarfon 0
Llanuwchllyn 3
Buckley 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Barry Town 5
Caerleon 2
Presteigne St. Andrews 0
Penrhyncoch 2
Aberbargoed Buds 2
Trefores 1
Bryntirion Athletic 1
Ely Rangers 3
Goytre AFC 3
Llwydcoed 0
Caerau FC 8
Llantwit Fardre 0
Ton Pentre 3
Dinas Powys 1
Bridgend Town 0
Pontardawe 1
Caerau Ely 7
Croesyceiliog FC 3
Pontyclun FC 0
Goytre Utd 6
Llandudno FC 3
Porthmadog 2
Denbigh 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Llanidloes Town 6
Halkyn United 1
Coedpoeth 1
Caersws FC 2
Greenfield 4
Llanllyfni FC 0
Guilsfield 2
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pwllheli 5
Brickfield Rangers 2
Llansantffraid Village 2
Holyhead 6
Monmouth 1
AFC Porth 0
Cwmamman United 1
Newbridge 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
West End 4
Taffs Well 0
Risca United 0
Rhayader 2
Llanrhaeadr 2
Glan Conwy FC 1
Four Crosses 1
Llanrug 2
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
1/32-finals
Bangor City -
TBD -
Tata Steel 1
Aberdare Town 2
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Newtown -
TBD -
Brymbo 1
Cefn Druids 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest 1
Cambrian United 0
Montgomery 1
Llandudno Junction 3
Gwalchmai 2
Corwen 1
Grange Harlequins 1
Chepstow Town 4
Rhyl 5
Waterloo Rovers 0
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Conwy Borough 2
Buckley 1
TBD -
TNS -
Barry Town 2
Penrhyncoch 1
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Ely Rangers 6
Goytre AFC 3
Caerau FC 1
Ton Pentre 0
Pontardawe 2
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre Utd 2
Llandudno FC 3
Holywell Town FC 5
Llanidloes Town 3
Caersws FC 2
Greenfield 0
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Pwllheli 2
Holyhead 5
Monmouth 5
Newbridge 1
TBD -
Bala -
West End 2
Rhayader 0
Llanrhaeadr 2
Llanrug 3
Afan Lido -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
1/16-finals
Bangor City 4
Aberdare Town 1
Llanelli 2
Connahs Q. 4
Newtown 2
Cefn Druids 0
Port Talbot 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Haverfordwest 3
Llandudno Junction 2
Gwalchmai 0
Chepstow Town 2
Rhyl 5
Aberystwyth 2
Conwy Borough 1
TNS 3
Barry Town 3
Ely Rangers 1
Goytre AFC 0
Pontardawe 2
Caerau Ely 2
Holywell Town FC 0
Llanidloes Town 0
Flint Town 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Holyhead 1
Monmouth 2
Bala 3
West End 5
Llanrug 0
Afan Lido 3
Prestatyn 4
1/8-finals
Bangor City 2
Connahs Q. 0
Newtown 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Haverfordwest 4
Chepstow Town 3
Rhyl 1
TNS 5
Barry Town 2
Pontardawe 1
Caerau Ely 1
Flint Town 3
Carmarthen Town 3
Bala 2
West End 0
Prestatyn 2
Quarter-finals
Bangor City 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Haverfordwest 0
TNS 1
Barry Town 2
Flint Town 0
Carmarthen Town 2
Prestatyn 3
Semi-finals
Bangor City 1
TNS 0
Barry Town 1
Prestatyn 2
Final
Bangor City 1
Prestatyn 3