Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bryntirion Athletic vs Caerleon

Wales Wales

Division 1 2012/2013
Bryntirion Athletic Logo

Bryntirion Athletic

2 - 0
FT
Caerleon Logo

Caerleon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2012/2013 game between Bryntirion Athletic and Caerleon finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bryntirion Athletic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bryntirion Athletic
30%
Draws
23%
Caerleon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bryntirion Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Caerleon haven't matched Bryntirion Athletic's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bryntirion Athletic a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bryntirion Athletic Clean Sheet 20%
Caerleon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bryntirion Athletic Caerleon
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 11 4
Draws 9 3
Losses 11 25
Goals Scored 1.61 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2013 Division 1
Bryntirion Athletic vs Caerleon
2:0
Jan 12, 2013 Division 1
Caerleon vs Bryntirion Athletic
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bryntirion Athletic 67 / 100
Caerleon 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bryntirion Athletic Caerleon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bryntirion Athletic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bryntirion Athletic's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Caerleon has conceded goals in 97% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Bryntirion Athletic remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bryntirion Athletic VS Caerleon
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1.14 Goals Conceded 2.38
57% Over 1.5 88%
14% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bryntirion Athletic

(Home)
18 May
Cwmbran Celtic
1 : 1
Bryntirion Athletic
07 May
Bryntirion Athletic
3 : 3
Cwmbran Celtic
19 Apr
Bryntirion Athletic
1 : 1
Taffs Well
14 Apr
Monmouth
1 : 0
Bryntirion Athletic
09 Apr
Pontardawe
0 : 1
Bryntirion Athletic
Page 1 of 7

Caerleon

(Away)
19 Oct
Pure Swansea
4 : 1
Caerleon
31 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 0
Caerleon
03 Oct
Caerleon
2 : 1
Treharris Athletic
06 May
Caerleon
0 : 1
Taffs Well
04 May
Caerleon
1 : 2
Tata Steel
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West End 28 18 4 6 64:29 58
2 Cambrian United 28 17 5 6 56:26 56
3 Taffs Well 28 14 7 7 57:39 49
4 Haverfordwest 28 13 8 7 63:35 47
5 Aberdare Town 28 13 8 7 45:35 47
6 AFC Porth 28 13 7 8 39:34 46
7 Monmouth 28 13 6 9 54:43 42
8 Bryntirion Athletic 28 10 9 9 38:40 39
9 Ton Pentre 28 9 9 10 39:39 36
10 Pontardawe 28 10 5 13 34:39 35
11 Goytre Utd 28 10 4 14 33:51 34
12 Cwmbran Celtic 28 9 5 14 41:52 32
13 Bridgend Town 28 8 7 13 28:51 31
14 Tata Steel 28 5 6 17 27:62 21
15 Caerleon 28 1 4 23 19:62 7
16 Barry Town 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Premier 2013/2014 (Main)