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Brzeg vs Carina Gubin Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brzeg host Carina Gubin in the III Liga - Group III. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Brzeg at 1.34 goals for, 1.55 against; Carina Gubin at 1.13 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Carina Gubin slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 23, 2024, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.88 - 1.06) back Carina Gubin to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Brzeg
15%
Draws
21%
Carina Gubin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brzeg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Brzeg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Brzeg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Brzeg Clean Sheet 20%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brzeg Carina Gubin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Brzeg
3:0
Aug 3, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Carina Gubin
1:2
May 20, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Brzeg
1:1
Oct 14, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Carina Gubin
0:2
May 13, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Carina Gubin
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brzeg 49 / 100
Carina Gubin 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brzeg Carina Gubin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brzeg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Carina Gubin conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Brzeg scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Carina Gubin's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Brzeg VS Carina Gubin
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Brzeg

(Home)
26 Sept
ROW Rybnik
4 : 3
Brzeg
19 Sept
Brzeg
1 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
12 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 0
Brzeg
05 Sept
Brzeg
2 : 4
Legnica II
28 Aug
Kluczbork
1 : 0
Brzeg
Page 1 of 6

Carina Gubin

(Away)
26 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 3
Stilon Gorzow
18 Sept
Zaglebie II
3 : 0
Carina Gubin
11 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
06 Sept
Polkowice
2 : 1
Carina Gubin
28 Aug
Carina Gubin
0 : 1
Barycz Sulow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BKS Sparta Katowice 10 7 2 1 18:6 23
2 Bytom Odrzanski 10 7 2 1 12:4 23
3 Zaglebie II 10 6 4 0 22:12 22
4 Barycz Sulow 10 6 2 2 17:11 20
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 9 5 1 3 14:9 16
6 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 10 4 3 3 12:7 15
7 Polkowice 10 4 2 4 18:17 14
8 ROW Rybnik 10 4 2 4 22:18 14
9 Stilon Gorzow 10 3 4 3 17:14 13
10 Warta Gorzow 10 3 4 3 10:16 13
11 Kluczbork 10 4 0 6 10:17 12
12 Legnica II 10 3 2 5 23:20 11
13 Brzeg 10 3 2 5 18:16 11
14 Goczalkowice Zdroj 10 3 2 5 11:15 11
15 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
16 Polonia Nysa 10 2 2 6 11:22 8
17 Sleza Wroclaw 10 2 1 7 15:26 7
18 Carina Gubin 10 1 2 7 7:22 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)