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Stadium Background

Brzeg vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Nowak M.

AI Match Summary

Brzeg in this III Liga - Group III matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brzeg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Brzeg
15%
Draws
59%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Brzeg haven't matched Karkonosze Jelenia Gora's recent run of results.
  • 26% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Brzeg Clean Sheet 16%
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brzeg Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.36 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1:0
Apr 18, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Brzeg
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
0:1
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora vs Brzeg
3:0
May 28, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Brzeg vs Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Brzeg Compare

Top Goalscorer Nowak M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brzeg 30 / 100
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brzeg Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brzeg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Brzeg scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Karkonosze Jelenia Gora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Brzeg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Brzeg VS Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Brzeg

(Home)
10 Oct
Barycz Sulow
1 : 1
Brzeg
03 Oct
Brzeg
0 : 1
Carina Gubin
26 Sept
ROW Rybnik
4 : 3
Brzeg
19 Sept
Brzeg
1 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
12 Sept
Warta Gorzow
1 : 0
Brzeg
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Karkonosze Jelenia Gora

(Away)
10 Oct
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
1 : 0
BKS Sparta Katowice
03 Oct
Sleza Wroclaw
2 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
26 Sept
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
2 : 0
Goczalkowice Zdroj
19 Sept
Brzeg
1 : 0
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
13 Sept
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
4 : 2
Stilon Gorzow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaglebie II 12 6 6 0 24:14 24
2 Bytom Odrzanski 12 7 3 2 13:6 24
3 BKS Sparta Katowice 12 7 3 2 19:8 24
4 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
5 Barycz Sulow 12 6 3 3 19:14 21
6 ROW Rybnik 12 6 2 4 25:19 20
7 Polkowice 12 5 3 4 23:19 18
8 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 12 5 3 4 13:9 18
9 Legnica II 12 5 2 5 27:22 17
10 Stilon Gorzow 12 4 4 4 20:19 16
11 Warta Gorzow 12 3 5 4 11:18 14
12 Goczalkowice Zdroj 12 3 3 6 11:16 12
13 Kluczbork 11 4 0 7 10:18 12
14 Brzeg 12 3 3 6 19:18 12
15 Polonia Nysa 12 3 2 7 13:24 11
16 Sleza Wroclaw 12 3 1 8 18:28 10
17 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
18 Carina Gubin 12 2 3 7 8:22 9
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)