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Stadium Background

Brzesko vs Rakow Czestochowa

Poland Poland

Division 2 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Brzesko play Rakow Czestochowa in the Division 2 2015/2016. Rakow Czestochowa are favorites here. Recently, Brzesko averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. Rakow Czestochowa averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Brzesko won 1, Rakow Czestochowa won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 21, 2015 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.48 for Brzesko and 1.74 for Rakow Czestochowa. This points to a Rakow Czestochowa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Brzesko
16%
Draws
59%
Rakow Czestochowa
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Rakow Czestochowa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Brzesko picked up more points recently compared to Rakow Czestochowa.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.48 vs 1.74 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Brzesko Clean Sheet 12%
Rakow Czestochowa Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Brzesko Rakow Czestochowa
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 2 5
Losses 22 10
Goals Scored 0.67 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.34

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2015 Division 2
Brzesko vs Rakow Czestochowa
3:1
Aug 1, 2015 Division 2
Rakow Czestochowa vs Brzesko
1:1
May 1, 2015 Division 2
Rakow Czestochowa vs Brzesko
1:0
Oct 4, 2014 Division 2
Brzesko vs Rakow Czestochowa
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Brzesko 25 / 100
Rakow Czestochowa 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Brzesko Rakow Czestochowa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rakow Czestochowa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Rakow Czestochowa & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Brzesko attacking → ← attacking Rakow Czestochowa

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brzesko scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Rakow Czestochowa let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Brzesko went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Rakow Czestochowa lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

20 Points in last 5 47
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Stal Mielec34209556:2769
2Pruszkow341810653:3364
3Tychy34178946:2759
4Wisla Pulawy34169947:3057
5Rakow Czestochowa341581159:4853
6Siarka Tarnobrzeg341651347:4353
7Puszcza341214840:2950
8Radomiak Radom341481244:3450
9Kotwica Kolobrzeg3412121033:3348
10Legionowo341381341:3547
11Polonia Bytom341361542:4444
12Blekitni Stargard341191437:3642
13ROW Rybnik349111437:4738
14Olimpia Zambrow349101537:5437
15Stal Stalowa Wola349101536:4837
16Nadwislan Gora341042038:6134
17Gryf Wejherowo34891735:5133
18Brzesko34742323:7125