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BSAD vs Oliveirense

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 Estádio Nacional do Jamor, Lisbon - Oeiras
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Lima J.
20'
Tomas N.
29'
Andrade S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 game between BSAD and Oliveirense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BSAD.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
BSAD
30%
Draws
42%
Oliveirense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oliveirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Oliveirense have managed 1.22 goals a game lately — BSAD are scoring more at 1.26.
  • Win probability leans BSAD's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
BSAD Clean Sheet 20%
Oliveirense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BSAD Oliveirense
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.26 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
BSAD vs Oliveirense
2:1
Jan 15, 2023 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs BSAD
2:1
Jul 28, 2018 League Cup
BSAD vs Oliveirense
3:1
Apr 24, 2013 Liga Portugal 2
BSAD vs Oliveirense
0:2
Nov 28, 2012 Liga Portugal 2
Oliveirense vs BSAD
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

BSAD Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ageu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Oliveirense Compare

Top Goalscorer Carter A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BSAD 36 / 100
Oliveirense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BSAD Oliveirense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BSAD's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Oliveirense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: BSAD stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Oliveirense
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

BSAD

(Home)
11 Jun
BSAD
0 : 1
Vilaverdense FC
03 Jun
Vilaverdense FC
1 : 1
BSAD
28 May
Vilafranquense
1 : 1
BSAD
20 May
BSAD
2 : 1
Oliveirense
13 May
BSAD
2 : 2
Mafra
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Oliveirense

(Away)
19 Sept
Oliveirense
1 : 2
Penafiel
12 Sept
Oliveirense
2 : 1
Mafra
06 Sept
Atletico CP
3 : 1
Oliveirense
29 Aug
Oliveirense
4 : 0
Penalva do Castelo
23 Aug
Oliveirense
3 : 2
Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moreirense 34 24 7 3 77:38 79
2 SC Farense 34 21 6 7 57:34 69
3 Estrela da Amadora 34 16 15 3 55:35 63
4 Academico Viseu 34 14 11 9 51:45 53
5 FC Porto B 34 14 9 11 48:40 51
6 Mafra 34 12 11 11 46:49 47
7 Vilafranquense 34 12 10 12 42:36 46
8 Feirense 34 11 13 10 43:37 46
9 Torreense 34 13 5 16 38:41 44
10 Oliveirense 34 11 10 13 51:50 43
11 Tondela 34 8 16 10 35:35 40
12 Penafiel 34 9 12 13 36:47 39
13 Nacional 34 10 9 15 35:46 39
14 Benfica B 34 10 8 16 52:58 38
15 Leixoes 34 10 9 15 38:49 38
16 BSAD 34 9 8 17 41:59 35
17 Trofense 34 8 8 18 31:51 32
18 Covilha 34 7 7 20 31:57 28
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Promotion)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2023/2024 (Main)