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BTS Neustadt vs ESC Geestemunde

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bremen game between BTS Neustadt and ESC Geestemunde finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BTS Neustadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
BTS Neustadt
15%
Draws
46%
ESC Geestemunde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ESC Geestemunde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • BTS Neustadt carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bremen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.6%
BTS Neustadt Clean Sheet 10%
ESC Geestemunde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BTS Neustadt ESC Geestemunde
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 15 10
Draws 2 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 2.63 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
BTS Neustadt vs ESC Geestemunde
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs BTS Neustadt
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
BTS Neustadt vs ESC Geestemunde
2:2
Mar 1, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
BTS Neustadt vs ESC Geestemunde
1:3
Sep 14, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs BTS Neustadt
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BTS Neustadt 30 / 100
ESC Geestemunde 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BTS Neustadt ESC Geestemunde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESC Geestemunde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BTS Neustadt found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: ESC Geestemunde conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

BTS Neustadt has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

BTS Neustadt VS ESC Geestemunde
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
3 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

BTS Neustadt

(Home)
20 Sept
Schwachhausen
1 : 4
BTS Neustadt
12 Sept
Werder Bremen III
3 : 1
BTS Neustadt
05 Sept
BTS Neustadt
1 : 0
ESC Geestemunde
29 Aug
Blumenthaler
1 : 0
BTS Neustadt
22 Aug
BTS Neustadt
0 : 6
Vatan Bremen
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ESC Geestemunde

(Away)
18 Sept
Leher
2 : 2
ESC Geestemunde
13 Sept
ESC Geestemunde
4 : 3
Grohn
05 Sept
BTS Neustadt
1 : 0
ESC Geestemunde
28 Aug
ESC Geestemunde
5 : 2
Werder Bremen III
23 Aug
Schwachhausen
3 : 2
ESC Geestemunde
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hemelingen 7 7 0 0 30:2 21
2 OSC Bremerhaven 8 6 1 1 33:6 19
3 Blumenthaler 7 6 0 1 29:8 18
4 Brinkumer 7 6 0 1 21:6 18
5 Aumund-Vegesack 7 4 0 3 21:15 12
6 Eiche Horn 7 3 2 2 7:11 11
7 Vatan Bremen 7 3 1 3 19:15 10
8 Grohn 7 3 1 3 12:20 10
9 Union 60 Bremen 7 2 3 2 14:15 9
10 Schwachhausen 7 3 0 4 9:18 9
11 ESC Geestemunde 7 2 2 3 17:21 8
12 BTS Neustadt 7 2 0 5 12:20 6
13 Leher 8 1 2 5 8:17 5
14 Werder Bremen III 8 1 1 6 12:24 4
15 Woltmershausen 8 1 1 6 10:32 4
16 Oberneuland 7 0 2 5 7:31 2
Promotion - Oberliga Hamburg (Promotion)