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Bubali vs Deportivo Nacional

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division di Honor game between Bubali and Deportivo Nacional finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bubali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Bubali
30%
Draws
58%
Deportivo Nacional
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Deportivo Nacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Nacional come out ahead of Bubali on wins alone.
  • Model gives Deportivo Nacional a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Bubali Clean Sheet 10%
Deportivo Nacional Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bubali Deportivo Nacional
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 17 19
Draws 7 0
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 2.59 3.22
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Division di Honor
Bubali vs Deportivo Nacional
3:1
Oct 28, 2023 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs Bubali
2:3
Apr 27, 2022 Division di Honor
Deportivo Nacional vs Bubali
6:0
Dec 11, 2021 Division di Honor
Bubali vs Deportivo Nacional
0:6
Jun 14, 2021 Division di Honor
Bubali vs Deportivo Nacional
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bubali 10 / 100
Deportivo Nacional 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bubali Deportivo Nacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Deportivo Nacional Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bubali scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Deportivo Nacional has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Bubali remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bubali VS Deportivo Nacional
1.25 Goals Scored 6.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Bubali

(Home)
23 May
Bubali
1 : 1
Racing Club Aruba
16 May
Britannia
3 : 0
Bubali
09 May
Bubali
0 : 4
SV Dakota
03 May
Bubali
1 : 1
La Fama
26 Apr
Sporting
2 : 2
Bubali
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Deportivo Nacional

(Away)
13 Jun
Deportivo Nacional
2 : 1
Caiquetio
01 Jun
Caravel
1 : 3
Deportivo Nacional
28 May
Atl. Deportivo
0 : 2
Deportivo Nacional
17 May
Deportivo Nacional
4 : 2
FC San Nicolaas
12 May
Deportivo Nacional
10 : 1
Estudiantes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SV Dakota 9 9 0 0 45:11 27
2 Britannia 9 6 1 2 18:12 19
3 La Fama 9 6 0 3 31:13 18
4 Sporting 9 5 1 3 36:13 16
5 Racing Club Aruba 9 5 0 4 20:12 15
6 Bubali 9 4 1 4 27:19 13
7 Deportivo Nacional 9 4 0 5 18:13 12
8 River Plate 9 2 2 5 17:29 8
9 Estrella 9 1 1 7 19:37 4
10 Real Koyari 9 0 0 9 3:75 0
Promotion - Division di Honor (Winners stage)
Relegation - Division di Honor (Relegation)