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Bubali vs Estrella

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division di Honor game between Bubali and Estrella finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bubali.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Bubali
35%
Draws
37%
Estrella
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Estrella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Bubali carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Division di Honor form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Bubali Clean Sheet 10%
Estrella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bubali Estrella
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 2.4 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.67 3.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Division di Honor
Bubali vs Estrella
5:1
Nov 11, 2023 Division di Honor
Estrella vs Bubali
7:4
May 1, 2022 Division di Honor
Bubali vs Estrella
0:3
Dec 19, 2021 Division di Honor
Estrella vs Bubali
6:2
May 22, 2021 Division di Honor
Estrella vs Bubali
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bubali 34 / 100
Estrella 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bubali Estrella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bubali's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Estrella conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.40 goals as a typical output.

Bubali has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bubali VS Estrella
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bubali

(Home)
23 May
Bubali
1 : 1
Racing Club Aruba
16 May
Britannia
3 : 0
Bubali
09 May
Bubali
0 : 4
SV Dakota
03 May
Bubali
1 : 1
La Fama
26 Apr
Sporting
2 : 2
Bubali
Page 1 of 6

Estrella

(Away)
25 Jun
Caravel
1 : 6
Estrella
02 Jun
Estrella
0 : 4
Jong Aruba
24 May
Estrella
1 : 5
River Plate
21 May
Estrella
1 : 2
Caiquetio
13 May
Brazil Juniors
2 : 2
Estrella
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SV Dakota 9 9 0 0 45:11 27
2 Britannia 9 6 1 2 18:12 19
3 La Fama 9 6 0 3 31:13 18
4 Sporting 9 5 1 3 36:13 16
5 Racing Club Aruba 9 5 0 4 20:12 15
6 Bubali 9 4 1 4 27:19 13
7 Deportivo Nacional 9 4 0 5 18:13 12
8 River Plate 9 2 2 5 17:29 8
9 Estrella 9 1 1 7 19:37 4
10 Real Koyari 9 0 0 9 3:75 0
Promotion - Division di Honor (Winners stage)
Relegation - Division di Honor (Relegation)