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Buchbach vs Bayern II

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Stossberger T.
53' Event
Muteba D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Buchbach in this Regionalliga Bayern matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buchbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Buchbach
15%
Draws
34%
Bayern II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buchbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Buchbach lately — more wins on the board than Bayern II.
  • Model gives Buchbach a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Buchbach Clean Sheet 20%
Bayern II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Buchbach Bayern II
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 15 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.79 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Bayern II
2:0
Nov 21, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Bayern II
3:4
Aug 1, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayern II vs Buchbach
6:3
Apr 4, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Buchbach vs Bayern II
2:1
Sep 27, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayern II vs Buchbach
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Buchbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Stossberger T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bayern II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Buchbach 67 / 100
Bayern II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Buchbach Bayern II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buchbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Buchbach stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Buchbach found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Bayern II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Buchbach VS Bayern II
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Buchbach

(Home)
18 Sept
Buchbach
3 : 1
1. FC Schweinfurt
11 Sept
Buchbach
2 : 0
Bayern II
05 Sept
Landsberg
1 : 3
Buchbach
29 Aug
Buchbach
2 : 1
Bayreuth
21 Aug
Ansbach
1 : 3
Buchbach
Page 1 of 6

Bayern II

(Away)
18 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
0 : 2
Bayern II
15 Sept
Bayern II
0 : 0
Augsburg II
11 Sept
Buchbach
2 : 0
Bayern II
04 Sept
Bayern II
3 : 0
Vfb Eichstatt
29 Aug
Illertissen
0 : 2
Bayern II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 9 7 2 0 22:7 23
2 Memmingen 10 6 3 1 13:6 21
3 Munich 1860 9 4 5 0 19:10 17
4 Illertissen 10 5 2 3 17:12 17
5 Unterhaching 8 5 2 1 11:6 17
6 Vfb Eichstatt 10 5 2 3 13:14 17
7 Vilzing 9 4 3 2 14:12 15
8 Burghausen 10 4 2 4 24:18 14
9 Eltersdorf 9 3 3 3 13:12 12
10 Augsburg II 10 3 3 4 15:23 12
11 Bayern II 9 3 2 4 9:8 11
12 1. FC Schweinfurt 10 3 2 5 15:23 11
13 Nurnberg II 9 3 1 5 17:15 10
14 Bayreuth 10 3 1 6 13:16 10
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 10 2 3 5 8:18 9
16 TSV Aubstadt 9 2 2 5 14:16 8
17 Furth II 9 2 1 6 12:16 7
18 Landsberg 9 1 4 4 9:14 7
19 Ansbach 9 2 1 6 8:20 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)